Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong fundraising edge, including hundreds of millions in self-funding, consistent polling leads of around 20 points, and the state's longstanding Democratic lean. He secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after primaries in March, while Republican nominee Darren Bailey won his party's primary with 53 percent. Recent developments include a September 2026 endorsement of Bailey by President Trump, which has not narrowed the gap in a state where Democrats have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited realistic paths for Bailey absent major unforeseen events such as significant shifts in turnout or late-breaking developments in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Иллинойса
Победитель выборов губернатора Иллинойса
$11,672 Объем
$11,672 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джей Би Притцкер (Д)
98%
Даррен Бейли (Р)
2%
$11,672 Объем
$11,672 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джей Би Притцкер (Д)
$5,430 Объем
98%
Даррен Бейли (Р)
$6,241 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong fundraising edge, including hundreds of millions in self-funding, consistent polling leads of around 20 points, and the state's longstanding Democratic lean. He secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after primaries in March, while Republican nominee Darren Bailey won his party's primary with 53 percent. Recent developments include a September 2026 endorsement of Bailey by President Trump, which has not narrowed the gap in a state where Democrats have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited realistic paths for Bailey absent major unforeseen events such as significant shifts in turnout or late-breaking developments in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$11,672Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong fundraising edge, including hundreds of millions in self-funding, consistent polling leads of around 20 points, and the state's longstanding Democratic lean. He secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after primaries in March, while Republican nominee Darren Bailey won his party's primary with 53 percent. Recent developments include a September 2026 endorsement of Bailey by President Trump, which has not narrowed the gap in a state where Democrats have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited realistic paths for Bailey absent major unforeseen events such as significant shifts in turnout or late-breaking developments in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$11,672Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong fundraising edge, including hundreds of millions in self-funding, consistent polling leads of around 20 points, and the state's longstanding Democratic lean. He secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after primaries in March, while Republican nominee Darren Bailey won his party's primary with 53 percent. Recent developments include a September 2026 endorsement of Bailey by President Trump, which has not narrowed the gap in a state where Democrats have prevailed in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited realistic paths for Bailey absent major unforeseen events such as significant shifts in turnout or late-breaking developments in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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