Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка
Политика·явка

Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка

icon for Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка
Политика·явка

Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка

4.25M-4.5M 38%

4M-4.25M 37%

4.5M-4.75M 14%

3.75M-4M 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

4.25M-4.5M 38%

4M-4.25M 37%

4.5M-4.75M 14%

3.75M-4M 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<3.25M

$632 Объем

3%

3.25M-3.5M

$1,561 Объем

1%

3.5M-3.75M

$505 Объем

4%

3.75M-4M

$422 Объем

11%

4M-4.25M

$1,969 Объем

37%

4.25M-4.5M

$1,733 Объем

38%

4.5M-4.75M

$1,635 Объем

14%

4.75M+

$880 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Democratic primary participation in Illinois surged nearly 50% above 2022 levels, reaching about 1.28 million ballots amid competitive Senate and House contests, which traders view as a signal of stronger base mobilization heading into the November general election. This enthusiasm, linked to national political dynamics, contrasts with notably lower Republican primary turnout and aligns with the market's clustering around 4M-4.5M total votes. Historical midterm patterns, including 4.14 million ballots cast in 2022, provide the baseline, while Republican efforts to lift downstate participation and Democratic focus on suburban and urban engagement introduce variability. The close pricing between the two leading brackets reflects uncertainty over whether these factors will push overall turnout modestly above or below recent midterms, with early voting access and registration trends as additional variables that could shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,337
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Democratic primary participation in Illinois surged nearly 50% above 2022 levels, reaching about 1.28 million ballots amid competitive Senate and House contests, which traders view as a signal of stronger base mobilization heading into the November general election. This enthusiasm, linked to national political dynamics, contrasts with notably lower Republican primary turnout and aligns with the market's clustering around 4M-4.5M total votes. Historical midterm patterns, including 4.14 million ballots cast in 2022, provide the baseline, while Republican efforts to lift downstate participation and Democratic focus on suburban and urban engagement introduce variability. The close pricing between the two leading brackets reflects uncertainty over whether these factors will push overall turnout modestly above or below recent midterms, with early voting access and registration trends as additional variables that could shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,337
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Флориды находиться в пределах от 7 750 000 до 8 000 000?

Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Флориды находиться в пределах от 7 750 000 до 8 000 000?

30%
Да
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?

31%
icon for Будет ли общее число голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Массачусетса, находиться в пределах от 2 800 000 до 2 950 000?

Будет ли общее число голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Массачусетса, находиться в пределах от 2 800 000 до 2 950 000?

33%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «4.25M-4.5M» с 38%, за ним следует «4M-4.25M» с 37%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 38¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка» — «4.25M-4.5M» с 38%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Следующий ближайший исход — «4M-4.25M» с 37%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Иллинойса: Явка» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.