In Alabama's open U.S. Senate race, trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.5M–1.7M total votes for the November general election, reflecting Alabama's historically low midterm participation rates and the limited enthusiasm evident in the June Republican and Democratic primary runoffs, which drew just 10.7% statewide turnout. Barry Moore's Trump-backed nomination and Everett Wess's Democratic win have not yet generated broad mobilization in a solidly Republican state where recent polling shows a double-digit GOP advantage. Key variables that could shift volume include get-out-the-vote efforts by both campaigns, early and absentee ballot trends, weather on Election Day, and any late national or state-specific developments that alter baseline voter interest in this non-presidential contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,5М-1,6М 36%
1,6M–1,7M 20.9%
1,4–1,5 млн 16%
1,7M–1,8M 11.9%
<1,2 млн
3%
1,2–1,3 млн
1%
1,3M-1,4M
3%
1,4–1,5 млн
16%
1,5М-1,6М
36%
1,6M–1,7M
26%
1,7M–1,8M
12%
1,8 млн+
5%
1,5М-1,6М 36%
1,6M–1,7M 20.9%
1,4–1,5 млн 16%
1,7M–1,8M 11.9%
<1,2 млн
3%
1,2–1,3 млн
1%
1,3M-1,4M
3%
1,4–1,5 млн
16%
1,5М-1,6М
36%
1,6M–1,7M
26%
1,7M–1,8M
12%
1,8 млн+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...In Alabama's open U.S. Senate race, trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.5M–1.7M total votes for the November general election, reflecting Alabama's historically low midterm participation rates and the limited enthusiasm evident in the June Republican and Democratic primary runoffs, which drew just 10.7% statewide turnout. Barry Moore's Trump-backed nomination and Everett Wess's Democratic win have not yet generated broad mobilization in a solidly Republican state where recent polling shows a double-digit GOP advantage. Key variables that could shift volume include get-out-the-vote efforts by both campaigns, early and absentee ballot trends, weather on Election Day, and any late national or state-specific developments that alter baseline voter interest in this non-presidential contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?
Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Флориды находиться в пределах от 7 750 000 до 8 000 000?
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на выборах в Сенат от Мичигана в промежуточных выборах 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 4 600 000 до 4 800 000?
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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