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icon for Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка
Политика·явка

Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка

icon for Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка
Политика·явка

Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка

750К-800К 43%

700К–750К 37%

650К–700К 8%

800K-850K 7%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

750К-800К 43%

700К–750К 37%

650К–700К 8%

800K-850K 7%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<550K

$333 Объем

5%

550K-600K

$114 Объем

4%

600К-650К

$905 Объем

6%

650К–700К

$91 Объем

8%

700К–750К

$406 Объем

37%

750К-800К

$341 Объем

43%

800K-850K

$91 Объем

7%

850 тыс.+

$91 Объем

4%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The non-competitive dynamics of New Mexico’s 2026 Senate race, with incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján holding a double-digit lead over minimally funded Republican Larry Marker in a race rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters, keep expected turnout subdued relative to the 903,000 votes cast in the 2024 Senate contest. Permanent absentee ballot access and semi-open primaries lifted June primary participation to 346,460 ballots, or 24.6 percent of eligible voters, above recent averages and could support November totals near 700,000–800,000 through expanded access for independents and rural voters. Democratic registration advantages and midterm patterns limit intense mobilization on either side, leaving trader consensus tightly split between the 700K–750K and 750K–800K ranges while separation hinges on absentee trends and any late-cycle shifts in national or state engagement.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,372
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The non-competitive dynamics of New Mexico’s 2026 Senate race, with incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján holding a double-digit lead over minimally funded Republican Larry Marker in a race rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters, keep expected turnout subdued relative to the 903,000 votes cast in the 2024 Senate contest. Permanent absentee ballot access and semi-open primaries lifted June primary participation to 346,460 ballots, or 24.6 percent of eligible voters, above recent averages and could support November totals near 700,000–800,000 through expanded access for independents and rural voters. Democratic registration advantages and midterm patterns limit intense mobilization on either side, leaving trader consensus tightly split between the 700K–750K and 750K–800K ranges while separation hinges on absentee trends and any late-cycle shifts in national or state engagement.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,372
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на выборах сенатора от Оклахомы в 2026 году находиться в диапазоне от 1 200 000 до 1 300 000?

Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на выборах сенатора от Оклахомы в 2026 году находиться в диапазоне от 1 200 000 до 1 300 000?

47%
Да
icon for Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Алабамы, находиться в пределах от 1 500 000 до 1 600 000?

Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Алабамы, находиться в пределах от 1 500 000 до 1 600 000?

36%
Да
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?

40%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «750К-800К» с 43%, за ним следует «700К–750К» с 37%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка» — «750К-800К» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «700К–750К» с 37%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Нью-Мексико: явка» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.