The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено55.0–55.9 100.0%
<50.0 <1%
50.0–50.9 <1%
51.0–51.9 <1%
$56,989 Объем
$56,989 Объем
3 сент. 2026 г.
<50.0
No
50.0–50.9
No
51.0–51.9
No
52.0–52.9
No
53.0–53.9
No
54.0–54.9
No
55.0–55.9
Yes
56.0–56.9
No
57.0–57.9
No
58.0+
No
55.0–55.9 100.0%
<50.0 <1%
50.0–50.9 <1%
51.0–51.9 <1%
$56,989 Объем
$56,989 Объем
3 сент. 2026 г.
<50.0
$817 Объем
No
50.0–50.9
$866 Объем
No
51.0–51.9
$1,028 Объем
No
52.0–52.9
$4,575 Объем
No
53.0–53.9
$26,972 Объем
No
54.0–54.9
$13,189 Объем
No
55.0–55.9
$6,339 Объем
Yes
56.0–56.9
$1,097 Объем
No
57.0–57.9
$1,057 Объем
No
58.0+
$1,048 Объем
No
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Объем
$56,989Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$56,989Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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