Recent strength in U.S. labor market data, including a September 4 jobs report showing nearly triple the expected payroll gains, has lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 59-62 percent. The target range remains 3.50-3.75 percent, where it has held since late 2025. Governor Christopher Waller noted the decision will hinge heavily on the August CPI release due September 11, with hotter readings potentially prompting tighter policy amid persistent inflation above the 2 percent goal and lingering supply pressures. Traders are monitoring upcoming employment and price data for confirmation of reacceleration, while Fed projections show a growing minority of officials favoring at least one hike by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2,846,865 Объем
8 дек. 2026 г.
Сентябрьское заседание
50%
Октябрьское заседание
62%
$2,846,865 Объем
Сентябрьское заседание
$1,267,356 Объем
50%
Октябрьское заседание
$619,509 Объем
62%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent strength in U.S. labor market data, including a September 4 jobs report showing nearly triple the expected payroll gains, has lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 59-62 percent. The target range remains 3.50-3.75 percent, where it has held since late 2025. Governor Christopher Waller noted the decision will hinge heavily on the August CPI release due September 11, with hotter readings potentially prompting tighter policy amid persistent inflation above the 2 percent goal and lingering supply pressures. Traders are monitoring upcoming employment and price data for confirmation of reacceleration, while Fed projections show a growing minority of officials favoring at least one hike by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$2,846,865Дата окончания
29 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent strength in U.S. labor market data, including a September 4 jobs report showing nearly triple the expected payroll gains, has lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 59-62 percent. The target range remains 3.50-3.75 percent, where it has held since late 2025. Governor Christopher Waller noted the decision will hinge heavily on the August CPI release due September 11, with hotter readings potentially prompting tighter policy amid persistent inflation above the 2 percent goal and lingering supply pressures. Traders are monitoring upcoming employment and price data for confirmation of reacceleration, while Fed projections show a growing minority of officials favoring at least one hike by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,846,865Дата окончания
29 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent strength in U.S. labor market data, including a September 4 jobs report showing nearly triple the expected payroll gains, has lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 59-62 percent. The target range remains 3.50-3.75 percent, where it has held since late 2025. Governor Christopher Waller noted the decision will hinge heavily on the August CPI release due September 11, with hotter readings potentially prompting tighter policy amid persistent inflation above the 2 percent goal and lingering supply pressures. Traders are monitoring upcoming employment and price data for confirmation of reacceleration, while Fed projections show a growing minority of officials favoring at least one hike by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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