Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt and his established position as a first-term senator aligned with the party's base. Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by roughly three points against pastor Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee who emerged from an August primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican. Hamilton's early fundraising success and name recognition from leading a large Kansas City-area church have narrowed the gap somewhat and drawn national attention, yet Marshall retains a substantial cash advantage and benefits from high-profile Republican support, including a mid-September campaign appearance by Vice President JD Vance. These dynamics underpin traders' consensus favoring the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
$62,271 Объем
$62,271 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Роджер Маршалл (Р)
76%
Адам Хэмилтон (Д)
25%
$62,271 Объем
$62,271 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Роджер Маршалл (Р)
$39,768 Объем
76%
Адам Хэмилтон (Д)
$22,503 Объем
25%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt and his established position as a first-term senator aligned with the party's base. Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by roughly three points against pastor Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee who emerged from an August primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican. Hamilton's early fundraising success and name recognition from leading a large Kansas City-area church have narrowed the gap somewhat and drawn national attention, yet Marshall retains a substantial cash advantage and benefits from high-profile Republican support, including a mid-September campaign appearance by Vice President JD Vance. These dynamics underpin traders' consensus favoring the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$62,271Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt and his established position as a first-term senator aligned with the party's base. Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by roughly three points against pastor Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee who emerged from an August primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican. Hamilton's early fundraising success and name recognition from leading a large Kansas City-area church have narrowed the gap somewhat and drawn national attention, yet Marshall retains a substantial cash advantage and benefits from high-profile Republican support, including a mid-September campaign appearance by Vice President JD Vance. These dynamics underpin traders' consensus favoring the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$62,271Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt and his established position as a first-term senator aligned with the party's base. Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, and recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by roughly three points against pastor Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee who emerged from an August primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican. Hamilton's early fundraising success and name recognition from leading a large Kansas City-area church have narrowed the gap somewhat and drawn national attention, yet Marshall retains a substantial cash advantage and benefits from high-profile Republican support, including a mid-September campaign appearance by Vice President JD Vance. These dynamics underpin traders' consensus favoring the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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