Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his 2024 victory margin above 70 percent, and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Higgins faces limited intra-party competition from Kate Cotten alongside several Democratic challengers including John Day, Priscilla Gonzalez, and Caleb Walker, plus unaffiliated candidate Tia LeBrun, in the November 3 open primary. His fundraising advantage exceeds $800,000 compared with under $20,000 for leading Democratic opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around Republican dominance. Scenarios that could narrow this edge include a late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Democratic mobilization in the southwestern Louisiana district, though current structural and financial factors make such shifts improbable before the December runoff window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-03
$33,775 Объем
$33,775 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
3%
$33,775 Объем
$33,775 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$21,933 Объем
95%
Демократическая партия
$11,842 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his 2024 victory margin above 70 percent, and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Higgins faces limited intra-party competition from Kate Cotten alongside several Democratic challengers including John Day, Priscilla Gonzalez, and Caleb Walker, plus unaffiliated candidate Tia LeBrun, in the November 3 open primary. His fundraising advantage exceeds $800,000 compared with under $20,000 for leading Democratic opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around Republican dominance. Scenarios that could narrow this edge include a late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Democratic mobilization in the southwestern Louisiana district, though current structural and financial factors make such shifts improbable before the December runoff window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$33,775Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his 2024 victory margin above 70 percent, and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Higgins faces limited intra-party competition from Kate Cotten alongside several Democratic challengers including John Day, Priscilla Gonzalez, and Caleb Walker, plus unaffiliated candidate Tia LeBrun, in the November 3 open primary. His fundraising advantage exceeds $800,000 compared with under $20,000 for leading Democratic opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around Republican dominance. Scenarios that could narrow this edge include a late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Democratic mobilization in the southwestern Louisiana district, though current structural and financial factors make such shifts improbable before the December runoff window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,775Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean, his 2024 victory margin above 70 percent, and solid ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Higgins faces limited intra-party competition from Kate Cotten alongside several Democratic challengers including John Day, Priscilla Gonzalez, and Caleb Walker, plus unaffiliated candidate Tia LeBrun, in the November 3 open primary. His fundraising advantage exceeds $800,000 compared with under $20,000 for leading Democratic opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around Republican dominance. Scenarios that could narrow this edge include a late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Democratic mobilization in the southwestern Louisiana district, though current structural and financial factors make such shifts improbable before the December runoff window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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