Trader consensus on Ankara's September 1 minimum temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities spanning 12–17°C. Official guidance from Turkey's Meteorological Service indicates a 16°C low under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Ensemble spreads in global models arise from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and nocturnal wind speeds, which can shift overnight minima by 2–3°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where averages hover near 14–15°C but daily variability remains high absent strong synoptic forcing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Анкаре 1 сентября?
18°C 50%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
2%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
50%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
18°C 50%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$25 Объем
2%
11°C
$8 Объем
26%
12°C
$0 Объем
27%
13°C
$0 Объем
27%
14°C
$0 Объем
27%
15°C
$0 Объем
26%
16°C
$0 Объем
26%
17°C
$0 Объем
26%
18°C
$15 Объем
50%
19°C
$140 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$210 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Ankara's September 1 minimum temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities spanning 12–17°C. Official guidance from Turkey's Meteorological Service indicates a 16°C low under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Ensemble spreads in global models arise from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and nocturnal wind speeds, which can shift overnight minima by 2–3°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where averages hover near 14–15°C but daily variability remains high absent strong synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$398Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Ankara's September 1 minimum temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities spanning 12–17°C. Official guidance from Turkey's Meteorological Service indicates a 16°C low under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Ensemble spreads in global models arise from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and nocturnal wind speeds, which can shift overnight minima by 2–3°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where averages hover near 14–15°C but daily variability remains high absent strong synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$398Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ankara's September 1 minimum temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities spanning 12–17°C. Official guidance from Turkey's Meteorological Service indicates a 16°C low under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Ensemble spreads in global models arise from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and nocturnal wind speeds, which can shift overnight minima by 2–3°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where averages hover near 14–15°C but daily variability remains high absent strong synoptic forcing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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