Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture during a military raid in Caracas. He and his wife remain detained in Brooklyn ahead of a June 2027 trial, with potential life sentences if convicted on the core counts. The market remains closely divided because Maduro’s September 2026 motion to dismiss on head-of-state immunity grounds, set for November 17 arguments, introduces substantial legal uncertainty that could end the case before trial. Prosecutors are due to respond by early October. Additional factors include the strength of the long-standing indictment evidence, possible plea dynamics, and limited prospects for extradition requests from other nations, leaving traders split between outright dismissal or acquittal versus a lengthy post-conviction sentence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБез тюремного срока 43%
60+ 40%
20–40 11.3%
<20 5.7%
$725,275 Объем
$725,275 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
Без тюремного срока
43%
<20
6%
20–40
11%
40–60
2%
60+
40%
Без тюремного срока 43%
60+ 40%
20–40 11.3%
<20 5.7%
$725,275 Объем
$725,275 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
Без тюремного срока
$440,348 Объем
43%
<20
$109,447 Объем
6%
20–40
$59,022 Объем
11%
40–60
$26,503 Объем
2%
60+
$89,954 Объем
40%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture during a military raid in Caracas. He and his wife remain detained in Brooklyn ahead of a June 2027 trial, with potential life sentences if convicted on the core counts. The market remains closely divided because Maduro’s September 2026 motion to dismiss on head-of-state immunity grounds, set for November 17 arguments, introduces substantial legal uncertainty that could end the case before trial. Prosecutors are due to respond by early October. Additional factors include the strength of the long-standing indictment evidence, possible plea dynamics, and limited prospects for extradition requests from other nations, leaving traders split between outright dismissal or acquittal versus a lengthy post-conviction sentence.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Объем
$725,275Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture during a military raid in Caracas. He and his wife remain detained in Brooklyn ahead of a June 2027 trial, with potential life sentences if convicted on the core counts. The market remains closely divided because Maduro’s September 2026 motion to dismiss on head-of-state immunity grounds, set for November 17 arguments, introduces substantial legal uncertainty that could end the case before trial. Prosecutors are due to respond by early October. Additional factors include the strength of the long-standing indictment evidence, possible plea dynamics, and limited prospects for extradition requests from other nations, leaving traders split between outright dismissal or acquittal versus a lengthy post-conviction sentence.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$725,275Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture during a military raid in Caracas. He and his wife remain detained in Brooklyn ahead of a June 2027 trial, with potential life sentences if convicted on the core counts. The market remains closely divided because Maduro’s September 2026 motion to dismiss on head-of-state immunity grounds, set for November 17 arguments, introduces substantial legal uncertainty that could end the case before trial. Prosecutors are due to respond by early October. Additional factors include the strength of the long-standing indictment evidence, possible plea dynamics, and limited prospects for extradition requests from other nations, leaving traders split between outright dismissal or acquittal versus a lengthy post-conviction sentence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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