**The Maranhão Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026, election, with voters selecting up to two candidates.** Recent September polls, including IPPI and Real Time Big Data, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall, while Weverton Rocha (PDT, incumbent), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT, incumbent) cluster closely in combined vote intention, often within margins of error for the second position. The fragmented field, high undecided rates in earlier surveys, and dual-vote mechanics keep second-place probabilities fluid. Trader consensus reflected in market pricing aligns with these patterns, where small shifts in turnout or preference among key blocs could determine the runner-up. No single late-breaking development has yet produced clear separation among the top contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWeverton Rocha 36%
Lahesio Bonfim 27.3%
Fufuca 23%
Roseana Sarney 10%
$35,901 Объем
$35,901 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Weverton Rocha
36%
Lahesio Bonfim
27%
Fufuca
23%
Roseana Sarney
10%
Eliziane Gama
6%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 36%
Lahesio Bonfim 27.3%
Fufuca 23%
Roseana Sarney 10%
$35,901 Объем
$35,901 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Weverton Rocha
$13,103 Объем
36%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,410 Объем
27%
Fufuca
$5,796 Объем
23%
Roseana Sarney
$8,586 Объем
10%
Eliziane Gama
$1,673 Объем
6%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$1,043 Объем
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$645 Объем
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$717 Объем
<1%
Wilson Leite
$656 Объем
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$564 Объем
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$709 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Maranhão Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026, election, with voters selecting up to two candidates.** Recent September polls, including IPPI and Real Time Big Data, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall, while Weverton Rocha (PDT, incumbent), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT, incumbent) cluster closely in combined vote intention, often within margins of error for the second position. The fragmented field, high undecided rates in earlier surveys, and dual-vote mechanics keep second-place probabilities fluid. Trader consensus reflected in market pricing aligns with these patterns, where small shifts in turnout or preference among key blocs could determine the runner-up. No single late-breaking development has yet produced clear separation among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Объем
$35,901Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Maranhão Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026, election, with voters selecting up to two candidates.** Recent September polls, including IPPI and Real Time Big Data, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall, while Weverton Rocha (PDT, incumbent), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT, incumbent) cluster closely in combined vote intention, often within margins of error for the second position. The fragmented field, high undecided rates in earlier surveys, and dual-vote mechanics keep second-place probabilities fluid. Trader consensus reflected in market pricing aligns with these patterns, where small shifts in turnout or preference among key blocs could determine the runner-up. No single late-breaking development has yet produced clear separation among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$35,901Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**The Maranhão Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026, election, with voters selecting up to two candidates.** Recent September polls, including IPPI and Real Time Big Data, show Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading overall, while Weverton Rocha (PDT, incumbent), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT, incumbent) cluster closely in combined vote intention, often within margins of error for the second position. The fragmented field, high undecided rates in earlier surveys, and dual-vote mechanics keep second-place probabilities fluid. Trader consensus reflected in market pricing aligns with these patterns, where small shifts in turnout or preference among key blocs could determine the runner-up. No single late-breaking development has yet produced clear separation among the top contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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