Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Параны
Победитель выборов губернатора Параны
Серхио Моро 80%
Кандидат B 20%
Александр Кури 1.0%
Рекуиан Фильо <1%
$101,901 Объем
$101,901 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Серхио Моро
80%
Кандидат B
20%
Александр Кури
1%
Рекуиан Фильо
<1%
Бету Рича
<1%
Гуто Силва
<1%
Луис Франса
<1%
Рафаэл Грекка
<1%
Энио Верри
<1%
Серхио Моро 80%
Кандидат B 20%
Александр Кури 1.0%
Рекуиан Фильо <1%
$101,901 Объем
$101,901 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Серхио Моро
$66,855 Объем
80%
Кандидат B
$5,183 Объем
20%
Александр Кури
$3,727 Объем
1%
Рекуиан Фильо
$11,007 Объем
<1%
Бету Рича
$2,596 Объем
<1%
Гуто Силва
$2,981 Объем
<1%
Луис Франса
$2,894 Объем
<1%
Рафаэл Грекка
$3,261 Объем
<1%
Энио Верри
$3,396 Объем
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Объем
$101,901Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$101,901Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls released in late August 2026, including surveys by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round voting intentions for Paraná governor with 35-38%, well ahead of Sandro Alex (PSD) at 15-26% and Requião Filho (PDT) at 20-21%. Moro also dominates simulated runoffs. His position draws from strong name recognition tied to Lava Jato, an alliance with Flávio Bolsonaro within the PL, and antipetista sentiment in the state. Incumbent Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) maintains high approval ratings near 79% and backs Sandro Alex as his successor, yet the PSD candidate trails significantly despite the state machine and recent vice-governor pairing with Rafael Greca. With the first round scheduled for October 4, these polling trends underpin trader consensus favoring Moro while assigning Sandro Alex the primary challenger role and minimal probabilities to remaining names.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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