Kweisi Mfume’s commanding position in the Maryland 7th District race stems from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding areas, combined with his status as a longtime incumbent who comfortably secured the June 2026 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Mfume’s 2024 general-election margin exceeding 60 points against the same Republican opponent. Scott Collier, the unopposed GOP nominee and perennial candidate, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic registration and past turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, a significant personal or ethical issue affecting Mfume, or unusually high Republican mobilization, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,398 Объем
$24,398 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Квайси Мфуме (Д)
96%
Скотт Коллиер (Р)
3%
$24,398 Объем
$24,398 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Квайси Мфуме (Д)
$15,273 Объем
96%
Скотт Коллиер (Р)
$9,125 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume’s commanding position in the Maryland 7th District race stems from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding areas, combined with his status as a longtime incumbent who comfortably secured the June 2026 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Mfume’s 2024 general-election margin exceeding 60 points against the same Republican opponent. Scott Collier, the unopposed GOP nominee and perennial candidate, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic registration and past turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, a significant personal or ethical issue affecting Mfume, or unusually high Republican mobilization, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$24,398Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume’s commanding position in the Maryland 7th District race stems from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding areas, combined with his status as a longtime incumbent who comfortably secured the June 2026 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Mfume’s 2024 general-election margin exceeding 60 points against the same Republican opponent. Scott Collier, the unopposed GOP nominee and perennial candidate, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic registration and past turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, a significant personal or ethical issue affecting Mfume, or unusually high Republican mobilization, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,398Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Kweisi Mfume’s commanding position in the Maryland 7th District race stems from the seat’s deep Democratic lean, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding areas, combined with his status as a longtime incumbent who comfortably secured the June 2026 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Mfume’s 2024 general-election margin exceeding 60 points against the same Republican opponent. Scott Collier, the unopposed GOP nominee and perennial candidate, faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic registration and past turnout patterns heavily favor the incumbent. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, a significant personal or ethical issue affecting Mfume, or unusually high Republican mobilization, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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