**PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polls consistently place it ahead of other opposition parties while Morena maintains a wide lead for first.** Surveys from mid-to-late 2026 show Morena at 35–45 percent, far ahead of PAN (typically 11–18 percent), PRI (9–13 percent), MC (9–12 percent), PVEM (3–5 percent), and PT (under 5 percent). PAN benefits from its status as the largest centroderecha opposition force with national reach, despite the 2025 decision to contest separately from PRI. Fragmented opposition competition, new parties on the ballot, and ongoing coalition frictions within the Morena-led bloc further support the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing. Resolution hinges on official seat totals after the June 6 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 73%
PRI 17.4%
PVEM 7%
MC 1.6%
$83,553 Объем
$83,553 Объем
5 июн. 2027 г.
PAN
73%
PRI
17%
PT
<1%
PVEM
7%
MC
2%
Morena
<1%
PAN 73%
PRI 17.4%
PVEM 7%
MC 1.6%
$83,553 Объем
$83,553 Объем
5 июн. 2027 г.
PAN
$38,307 Объем
73%
PRI
$14,480 Объем
17%
PT
$8,011 Объем
<1%
PVEM
$12,856 Объем
7%
MC
$4,617 Объем
2%
Morena
$5,281 Объем
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polls consistently place it ahead of other opposition parties while Morena maintains a wide lead for first.**
Surveys from mid-to-late 2026 show Morena at 35–45 percent, far ahead of PAN (typically 11–18 percent), PRI (9–13 percent), MC (9–12 percent), PVEM (3–5 percent), and PT (under 5 percent). PAN benefits from its status as the largest centroderecha opposition force with national reach, despite the 2025 decision to contest separately from PRI. Fragmented opposition competition, new parties on the ballot, and ongoing coalition frictions within the Morena-led bloc further support the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing. Resolution hinges on official seat totals after the June 6 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Объем
$83,553Дата окончания
6 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).**PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polls consistently place it ahead of other opposition parties while Morena maintains a wide lead for first.**
Surveys from mid-to-late 2026 show Morena at 35–45 percent, far ahead of PAN (typically 11–18 percent), PRI (9–13 percent), MC (9–12 percent), PVEM (3–5 percent), and PT (under 5 percent). PAN benefits from its status as the largest centroderecha opposition force with national reach, despite the 2025 decision to contest separately from PRI. Fragmented opposition competition, new parties on the ballot, and ongoing coalition frictions within the Morena-led bloc further support the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing. Resolution hinges on official seat totals after the June 6 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Объем
$83,553Дата окончания
6 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**PAN leads trader consensus for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because recent national polls consistently place it ahead of other opposition parties while Morena maintains a wide lead for first.** Surveys from mid-to-late 2026 show Morena at 35–45 percent, far ahead of PAN (typically 11–18 percent), PRI (9–13 percent), MC (9–12 percent), PVEM (3–5 percent), and PT (under 5 percent). PAN benefits from its status as the largest centroderecha opposition force with national reach, despite the 2025 decision to contest separately from PRI. Fragmented opposition competition, new parties on the ballot, and ongoing coalition frictions within the Morena-led bloc further support the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing. Resolution hinges on official seat totals after the June 6 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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