Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting or approaching the Moscow region continue to prompt Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports. These measures, issued via Rosaviatsiya for flight safety during air defense operations, have occurred repeatedly in 2026, including major barrages in June that forced multi-hour closures and widespread delays, plus additional restrictions in August after high-profile diplomatic visits. Trader sentiment reflects the established pattern of such attacks driving concurrent suspensions across the three airports, with recent incidents confirming the mechanism remains active into late summer. Any escalation or de-escalation in strikes before resolution deadlines could still shift probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМосковское авиасообщение приостановлено на...?
$23,484 Объем
31 августа
2%
15 сентября
36%
$23,484 Объем
31 августа
2%
15 сентября
36%
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting or approaching the Moscow region continue to prompt Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports. These measures, issued via Rosaviatsiya for flight safety during air defense operations, have occurred repeatedly in 2026, including major barrages in June that forced multi-hour closures and widespread delays, plus additional restrictions in August after high-profile diplomatic visits. Trader sentiment reflects the established pattern of such attacks driving concurrent suspensions across the three airports, with recent incidents confirming the mechanism remains active into late summer. Any escalation or de-escalation in strikes before resolution deadlines could still shift probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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