Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters with an established partisan lean favoring the GOP. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, compared with Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who won his party’s primary but raised far less as a political newcomer. The district’s voting patterns in recent cycles and the absence of major late developments reinforce trader consensus around Langworthy’s position. A significant scandal, sharp national swing toward Democrats, or unusually elevated opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-23 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-23 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$28,574 Объем
$28,574 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ник Лэнгуэрти (Р)
94%
Аарон Гис (Д)
6%
$28,574 Объем
$28,574 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ник Лэнгуэрти (Р)
$13,677 Объем
94%
Аарон Гис (Д)
$14,897 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters with an established partisan lean favoring the GOP. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, compared with Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who won his party’s primary but raised far less as a political newcomer. The district’s voting patterns in recent cycles and the absence of major late developments reinforce trader consensus around Langworthy’s position. A significant scandal, sharp national swing toward Democrats, or unusually elevated opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$28,574Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters with an established partisan lean favoring the GOP. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, compared with Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who won his party’s primary but raised far less as a political newcomer. The district’s voting patterns in recent cycles and the absence of major late developments reinforce trader consensus around Langworthy’s position. A significant scandal, sharp national swing toward Democrats, or unusually elevated opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$28,574Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in New York’s 23rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters with an established partisan lean favoring the GOP. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, compared with Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who won his party’s primary but raised far less as a political newcomer. The district’s voting patterns in recent cycles and the absence of major late developments reinforce trader consensus around Langworthy’s position. A significant scandal, sharp national swing toward Democrats, or unusually elevated opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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