Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to the district's solidly Republican tilt, her established name recognition across the Finger Lakes and western New York counties, and consistent prior margins exceeding 30 points. Her uncontested Republican primary and substantial fundraising advantage reinforce trader consensus reflected in current odds. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary emphasizing affordability, veterans' issues, and energy costs, faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. A scheduled October debate and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions or turnout could still influence the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-24
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-24
$20,577 Объем
$20,577 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Клаудия Тенни (Р)
93%
Алисса Эллман (Д)
9%
$20,577 Объем
$20,577 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Клаудия Тенни (Р)
$10,938 Объем
93%
Алисса Эллман (Д)
$9,639 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to the district's solidly Republican tilt, her established name recognition across the Finger Lakes and western New York counties, and consistent prior margins exceeding 30 points. Her uncontested Republican primary and substantial fundraising advantage reinforce trader consensus reflected in current odds. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary emphasizing affordability, veterans' issues, and energy costs, faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. A scheduled October debate and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions or turnout could still influence the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$20,577Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to the district's solidly Republican tilt, her established name recognition across the Finger Lakes and western New York counties, and consistent prior margins exceeding 30 points. Her uncontested Republican primary and substantial fundraising advantage reinforce trader consensus reflected in current odds. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary emphasizing affordability, veterans' issues, and energy costs, faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. A scheduled October debate and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions or turnout could still influence the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,577Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to the district's solidly Republican tilt, her established name recognition across the Finger Lakes and western New York counties, and consistent prior margins exceeding 30 points. Her uncontested Republican primary and substantial fundraising advantage reinforce trader consensus reflected in current odds. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary emphasizing affordability, veterans' issues, and energy costs, faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. A scheduled October debate and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions or turnout could still influence the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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