Gabe Amo’s commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district reflects the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, his incumbency, and a 2024 reelection margin of 31 points in a district that favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the presidential race. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Amo advanced unopposed in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan, an entrepreneur, faced no primary opposition and has raised minimal funds. The district’s voter base and structural advantages have produced wide implied probabilities in trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or sharp national partisan swing would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
RI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$36,140 Объем
$36,140 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Гейб Амо (Д)
95%
Келли Кинан (Р)
5%
$36,140 Объем
$36,140 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Гейб Амо (Д)
$6,061 Объем
95%
Келли Кинан (Р)
$30,079 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo’s commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district reflects the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, his incumbency, and a 2024 reelection margin of 31 points in a district that favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the presidential race. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Amo advanced unopposed in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan, an entrepreneur, faced no primary opposition and has raised minimal funds. The district’s voter base and structural advantages have produced wide implied probabilities in trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or sharp national partisan swing would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$36,140Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gabe Amo’s commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district reflects the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, his incumbency, and a 2024 reelection margin of 31 points in a district that favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the presidential race. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Amo advanced unopposed in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan, an entrepreneur, faced no primary opposition and has raised minimal funds. The district’s voter base and structural advantages have produced wide implied probabilities in trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or sharp national partisan swing would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,140Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Gabe Amo’s commanding position in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district reflects the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, his incumbency, and a 2024 reelection margin of 31 points in a district that favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the presidential race. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Amo advanced unopposed in the September 9, 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Kellie Keenan, an entrepreneur, faced no primary opposition and has raised minimal funds. The district’s voter base and structural advantages have produced wide implied probabilities in trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or sharp national partisan swing would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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