Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District, where trader pricing reflects the seat’s modest Republican lean and Wittman’s long tenure since 2007. The August 4 Democratic primary consolidated support behind Taylor, who secured 53 percent against a crowded field, allowing the general election campaign to sharpen on issues such as federal spending priorities and constituent services. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index near R+3 and Wittman’s prior double-digit victories, yet recent Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial race has narrowed historical margins. Fundraising totals exceed $6 million combined, with both sides emphasizing turnout in suburban and exurban precincts ahead of the November 3 general election. Upcoming debates and fall polling releases could shift implied probabilities if they highlight differences in policy records or voter mobilization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-01
$27,864 Объем
$27,864 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
54%
Демократическая партия
45%
$27,864 Объем
$27,864 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$6,721 Объем
54%
Демократическая партия
$21,144 Объем
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District, where trader pricing reflects the seat’s modest Republican lean and Wittman’s long tenure since 2007. The August 4 Democratic primary consolidated support behind Taylor, who secured 53 percent against a crowded field, allowing the general election campaign to sharpen on issues such as federal spending priorities and constituent services. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index near R+3 and Wittman’s prior double-digit victories, yet recent Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial race has narrowed historical margins. Fundraising totals exceed $6 million combined, with both sides emphasizing turnout in suburban and exurban precincts ahead of the November 3 general election. Upcoming debates and fall polling releases could shift implied probabilities if they highlight differences in policy records or voter mobilization.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$27,864Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District, where trader pricing reflects the seat’s modest Republican lean and Wittman’s long tenure since 2007. The August 4 Democratic primary consolidated support behind Taylor, who secured 53 percent against a crowded field, allowing the general election campaign to sharpen on issues such as federal spending priorities and constituent services. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index near R+3 and Wittman’s prior double-digit victories, yet recent Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial race has narrowed historical margins. Fundraising totals exceed $6 million combined, with both sides emphasizing turnout in suburban and exurban precincts ahead of the November 3 general election. Upcoming debates and fall polling releases could shift implied probabilities if they highlight differences in policy records or voter mobilization.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,864Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District, where trader pricing reflects the seat’s modest Republican lean and Wittman’s long tenure since 2007. The August 4 Democratic primary consolidated support behind Taylor, who secured 53 percent against a crowded field, allowing the general election campaign to sharpen on issues such as federal spending priorities and constituent services. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index near R+3 and Wittman’s prior double-digit victories, yet recent Democratic performance in the 2025 gubernatorial race has narrowed historical margins. Fundraising totals exceed $6 million combined, with both sides emphasizing turnout in suburban and exurban precincts ahead of the November 3 general election. Upcoming debates and fall polling releases could shift implied probabilities if they highlight differences in policy records or voter mobilization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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