Incumbent Republican Ben Cline holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 6th congressional district due to the area’s consistent conservative lean across the Shenandoah Valley and surrounding counties. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024 and Cline’s 63 percent victory that year. The district’s partisan composition, Cline’s established name recognition, and limited Democratic targeting by national committees anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, an author and journalist, has raised competitive funds and is emphasizing local issues such as health care, agriculture, and data center growth, yet faces structural barriers in a seat projected to deliver a Republican margin exceeding 30 points. Late developments like national economic shifts or candidate-specific controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$115,780 Объем
$115,780 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Бен Клайн (Р)
93%
Бет Мэйси (Д)
8%
$115,780 Объем
$115,780 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Бен Клайн (Р)
$44,449 Объем
93%
Бет Мэйси (Д)
$71,331 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 6th congressional district due to the area’s consistent conservative lean across the Shenandoah Valley and surrounding counties. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024 and Cline’s 63 percent victory that year. The district’s partisan composition, Cline’s established name recognition, and limited Democratic targeting by national committees anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, an author and journalist, has raised competitive funds and is emphasizing local issues such as health care, agriculture, and data center growth, yet faces structural barriers in a seat projected to deliver a Republican margin exceeding 30 points. Late developments like national economic shifts or candidate-specific controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$115,780Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 6th congressional district due to the area’s consistent conservative lean across the Shenandoah Valley and surrounding counties. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024 and Cline’s 63 percent victory that year. The district’s partisan composition, Cline’s established name recognition, and limited Democratic targeting by national committees anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, an author and journalist, has raised competitive funds and is emphasizing local issues such as health care, agriculture, and data center growth, yet faces structural barriers in a seat projected to deliver a Republican margin exceeding 30 points. Late developments like national economic shifts or candidate-specific controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$115,780Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ben Cline holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 6th congressional district due to the area’s consistent conservative lean across the Shenandoah Valley and surrounding counties. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024 and Cline’s 63 percent victory that year. The district’s partisan composition, Cline’s established name recognition, and limited Democratic targeting by national committees anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, an author and journalist, has raised competitive funds and is emphasizing local issues such as health care, agriculture, and data center growth, yet faces structural barriers in a seat projected to deliver a Republican margin exceeding 30 points. Late developments like national economic shifts or candidate-specific controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы