Jake Ellzey holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Texas 6th congressional district race due to his status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with his decisive primary win and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Danny Minton. Primaries concluded in March with Ellzey securing over 66 percent against Republican challengers, while Minton advanced unopposed. The seat's partisan baseline and limited Democratic infrastructure reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unforeseen national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns or an unexpected personal or legal issue affecting the incumbent before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$52,789 Объем
$52,789 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джейк Элзи (Р)
96%
Дэнни Минтон (Д)
5%
$52,789 Объем
$52,789 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джейк Элзи (Р)
$25,764 Объем
96%
Дэнни Минтон (Д)
$27,026 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Ellzey holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Texas 6th congressional district race due to his status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with his decisive primary win and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Danny Minton. Primaries concluded in March with Ellzey securing over 66 percent against Republican challengers, while Minton advanced unopposed. The seat's partisan baseline and limited Democratic infrastructure reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unforeseen national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns or an unexpected personal or legal issue affecting the incumbent before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$52,789Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Ellzey holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Texas 6th congressional district race due to his status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with his decisive primary win and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Danny Minton. Primaries concluded in March with Ellzey securing over 66 percent against Republican challengers, while Minton advanced unopposed. The seat's partisan baseline and limited Democratic infrastructure reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unforeseen national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns or an unexpected personal or legal issue affecting the incumbent before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$52,789Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Jake Ellzey holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Texas 6th congressional district race due to his status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with his decisive primary win and substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Danny Minton. Primaries concluded in March with Ellzey securing over 66 percent against Republican challengers, while Minton advanced unopposed. The seat's partisan baseline and limited Democratic infrastructure reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unforeseen national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns or an unexpected personal or legal issue affecting the incumbent before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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