The Republican tilt of South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters with an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader pricing that favors Jenny Costa Honeycutt. The coastal seat, redrawn in 2021 to strengthen GOP performance, has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, and the open nature of the race after Nancy Mace pursued the governorship has not altered that baseline. Honeycutt secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 runoff, while Nancy Lacore advanced on the Democratic side; Democratic super PACs have reserved advertising funds and a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head contest, yet structural advantages and historical voting patterns continue to anchor the implied probability near 70 percent for the Republican nominee ahead of the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоSC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$54,988 Объем
$54,988 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дженни Коста Ханикатт (Р)
71%
Нэнси Лакор (Д)
30%
$54,988 Объем
$54,988 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дженни Коста Ханикатт (Р)
$13,236 Объем
71%
Нэнси Лакор (Д)
$41,752 Объем
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican tilt of South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters with an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader pricing that favors Jenny Costa Honeycutt. The coastal seat, redrawn in 2021 to strengthen GOP performance, has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, and the open nature of the race after Nancy Mace pursued the governorship has not altered that baseline. Honeycutt secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 runoff, while Nancy Lacore advanced on the Democratic side; Democratic super PACs have reserved advertising funds and a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head contest, yet structural advantages and historical voting patterns continue to anchor the implied probability near 70 percent for the Republican nominee ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$54,988Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican tilt of South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters with an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader pricing that favors Jenny Costa Honeycutt. The coastal seat, redrawn in 2021 to strengthen GOP performance, has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, and the open nature of the race after Nancy Mace pursued the governorship has not altered that baseline. Honeycutt secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 runoff, while Nancy Lacore advanced on the Democratic side; Democratic super PACs have reserved advertising funds and a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head contest, yet structural advantages and historical voting patterns continue to anchor the implied probability near 70 percent for the Republican nominee ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$54,988Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican tilt of South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by multiple forecasters with an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader pricing that favors Jenny Costa Honeycutt. The coastal seat, redrawn in 2021 to strengthen GOP performance, has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, and the open nature of the race after Nancy Mace pursued the governorship has not altered that baseline. Honeycutt secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 runoff, while Nancy Lacore advanced on the Democratic side; Democratic super PACs have reserved advertising funds and a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head contest, yet structural advantages and historical voting patterns continue to anchor the implied probability near 70 percent for the Republican nominee ahead of the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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