Recent August CPI data held steady at 3.4% year-over-year, aligning with the Cleveland Fed’s 3.43% nowcast for September and anchoring trader expectations around 3.4–3.6%. Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical supply disruptions and a sharp rise in gasoline costs, have introduced upside pressure, while shelter inflation continues to moderate gradually. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% for the year ahead amid these factors, highlighting persistent price sensitivities. With leading outcomes separated by narrow margins, the market reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in volatile components like energy and the extent of any second-round effects on core measures. Key upcoming catalysts include the September CPI release in mid-October and ongoing FOMC communications on monetary policy adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3,5% 34%
3,6% 32%
3,4% 21%
3,7% 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 окт. 2026 г.
≤2,9%
3%
3,0%
4%
3,1%
5%
3,2%
5%
3,3%
3%
3,4%
21%
3,5%
34%
3,6%
32%
3,7%
8%
3,8%
4%
3,9%
1%
≥4,0%
4%
3,5% 34%
3,6% 32%
3,4% 21%
3,7% 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 окт. 2026 г.
≤2,9%
$83 Объем
3%
3,0%
$67 Объем
4%
3,1%
$64 Объем
5%
3,2%
$87 Объем
5%
3,3%
$345 Объем
3%
3,4%
$616 Объем
21%
3,5%
$1,138 Объем
34%
3,6%
$725 Объем
32%
3,7%
$309 Объем
8%
3,8%
$54 Объем
4%
3,9%
$288 Объем
1%
≥4,0%
$129 Объем
4%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data held steady at 3.4% year-over-year, aligning with the Cleveland Fed’s 3.43% nowcast for September and anchoring trader expectations around 3.4–3.6%. Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical supply disruptions and a sharp rise in gasoline costs, have introduced upside pressure, while shelter inflation continues to moderate gradually. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% for the year ahead amid these factors, highlighting persistent price sensitivities. With leading outcomes separated by narrow margins, the market reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in volatile components like energy and the extent of any second-round effects on core measures. Key upcoming catalysts include the September CPI release in mid-October and ongoing FOMC communications on monetary policy adjustments.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Объем
$3,906Дата окончания
15 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data held steady at 3.4% year-over-year, aligning with the Cleveland Fed’s 3.43% nowcast for September and anchoring trader expectations around 3.4–3.6%. Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical supply disruptions and a sharp rise in gasoline costs, have introduced upside pressure, while shelter inflation continues to moderate gradually. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% for the year ahead amid these factors, highlighting persistent price sensitivities. With leading outcomes separated by narrow margins, the market reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in volatile components like energy and the extent of any second-round effects on core measures. Key upcoming catalysts include the September CPI release in mid-October and ongoing FOMC communications on monetary policy adjustments.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$3,906Дата окончания
15 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data held steady at 3.4% year-over-year, aligning with the Cleveland Fed’s 3.43% nowcast for September and anchoring trader expectations around 3.4–3.6%. Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical supply disruptions and a sharp rise in gasoline costs, have introduced upside pressure, while shelter inflation continues to moderate gradually. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% for the year ahead amid these factors, highlighting persistent price sensitivities. With leading outcomes separated by narrow margins, the market reflects uncertainty over monthly volatility in volatile components like energy and the extent of any second-round effects on core measures. Key upcoming catalysts include the September CPI release in mid-October and ongoing FOMC communications on monetary policy adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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