As of mid-September 2026, resilient corporate earnings growth, steady GDP expansion, and the Federal Reserve’s measured policy easing have anchored trader sentiment for the S&P 500 close at year-end, lifting the >$8,000 outcome to a 38% market-implied probability. Equity valuations reflect elevated but stable multiples, supported by declining inflation readings and solid nonfarm payrolls, while the clustered 22% probabilities on the $7,000–$7,500 and $7,500–$8,000 bands capture uncertainty over potential tariff effects and Q4 volatility. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release, third-quarter earnings season, and the November FOMC decision, which could refine rate-cut expectations and shift positioning within these ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
Что закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
>$8,000 29%
$7,000–$7,500 22%
$7,500–$8,000 22%
$6,500–$7,000 10%
$41,611 Объем
$41,611 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
7%
$6,000–$6,500
6%
$6,500–$7,000
10%
$7,000–$7,500
22%
$7,500–$8,000
22%
>$8,000
36%
>$8,000 29%
$7,000–$7,500 22%
$7,500–$8,000 22%
$6,500–$7,000 10%
$41,611 Объем
$41,611 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$21,149 Объем
7%
$6,000–$6,500
$2,365 Объем
6%
$6,500–$7,000
$4,577 Объем
10%
$7,000–$7,500
$2,746 Объем
22%
$7,500–$8,000
$4,293 Объем
22%
>$8,000
$6,482 Объем
36%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."As of mid-September 2026, resilient corporate earnings growth, steady GDP expansion, and the Federal Reserve’s measured policy easing have anchored trader sentiment for the S&P 500 close at year-end, lifting the >$8,000 outcome to a 38% market-implied probability. Equity valuations reflect elevated but stable multiples, supported by declining inflation readings and solid nonfarm payrolls, while the clustered 22% probabilities on the $7,000–$7,500 and $7,500–$8,000 bands capture uncertainty over potential tariff effects and Q4 volatility. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release, third-quarter earnings season, and the November FOMC decision, which could refine rate-cut expectations and shift positioning within these ranges.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$41,611Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."As of mid-September 2026, resilient corporate earnings growth, steady GDP expansion, and the Federal Reserve’s measured policy easing have anchored trader sentiment for the S&P 500 close at year-end, lifting the >$8,000 outcome to a 38% market-implied probability. Equity valuations reflect elevated but stable multiples, supported by declining inflation readings and solid nonfarm payrolls, while the clustered 22% probabilities on the $7,000–$7,500 and $7,500–$8,000 bands capture uncertainty over potential tariff effects and Q4 volatility. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release, third-quarter earnings season, and the November FOMC decision, which could refine rate-cut expectations and shift positioning within these ranges.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$41,611Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...As of mid-September 2026, resilient corporate earnings growth, steady GDP expansion, and the Federal Reserve’s measured policy easing have anchored trader sentiment for the S&P 500 close at year-end, lifting the >$8,000 outcome to a 38% market-implied probability. Equity valuations reflect elevated but stable multiples, supported by declining inflation readings and solid nonfarm payrolls, while the clustered 22% probabilities on the $7,000–$7,500 and $7,500–$8,000 bands capture uncertainty over potential tariff effects and Q4 volatility. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release, third-quarter earnings season, and the November FOMC decision, which could refine rate-cut expectations and shift positioning within these ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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