Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs, well above expectations, combined with steady 4.1% unemployment, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.79%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target and hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh keep monetary policy in focus, while robust Q2 earnings growth—driven by AI capital spending—has supported the S&P 500 near 7,719 year-to-date. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and FOMC decision, which will clarify whether tighter policy or continued earnings momentum shapes fourth-quarter equity levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$339,569 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
3%
↑ $9,000
4%
↑ $8 600
10%
↑ $8,200
32%
↑ $8,000
61%
↓ $7,400
68%
↓ $7,200
72%
↓ $7,000
36%
↓ $6,200
19%
↓ $6,000
17%
↓ $5 800
9%
↓ $5 200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$339,569 Объем
↑ $10,000
$103 Объем
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,538 Объем
3%
↑ $9,000
$78 Объем
4%
↑ $8 600
$30,614 Объем
10%
↑ $8,200
$23,783 Объем
32%
↑ $8,000
$559 Объем
61%
↓ $7,400
$0 Объем
68%
↓ $7,200
$5 Объем
72%
↓ $7,000
$343 Объем
36%
↓ $6,200
$52,888 Объем
19%
↓ $6,000
$2,957 Объем
17%
↓ $5 800
$41,770 Объем
9%
↓ $5 200
$56,898 Объем
7%
↓ $4,500
$59,984 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs, well above expectations, combined with steady 4.1% unemployment, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.79%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target and hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh keep monetary policy in focus, while robust Q2 earnings growth—driven by AI capital spending—has supported the S&P 500 near 7,719 year-to-date. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and FOMC decision, which will clarify whether tighter policy or continued earnings momentum shapes fourth-quarter equity levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Объем
$339,569Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs, well above expectations, combined with steady 4.1% unemployment, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.79%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target and hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh keep monetary policy in focus, while robust Q2 earnings growth—driven by AI capital spending—has supported the S&P 500 near 7,719 year-to-date. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and FOMC decision, which will clarify whether tighter policy or continued earnings momentum shapes fourth-quarter equity levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$339,569Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs, well above expectations, combined with steady 4.1% unemployment, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.79%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target and hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh keep monetary policy in focus, while robust Q2 earnings growth—driven by AI capital spending—has supported the S&P 500 near 7,719 year-to-date. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 PPI, September 11 CPI, and FOMC decision, which will clarify whether tighter policy or continued earnings momentum shapes fourth-quarter equity levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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