Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to his established record as a three-term officeholder, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $17 million in cash on hand, and consistent double-digit polling margins against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa. Virginia has favored Democrats in recent U.S. Senate contests, and race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured the GOP nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in early surveys showing Warner ahead by roughly 18 points. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 election. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen national political changes, major campaign developments, or low-turnout dynamics, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
Победитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
$23,148 Объем
$23,148 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Уорнер (Д)
96%
Берт Мизусава (Р)
5%
$23,148 Объем
$23,148 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Уорнер (Д)
$15,894 Объем
96%
Берт Мизусава (Р)
$7,254 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to his established record as a three-term officeholder, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $17 million in cash on hand, and consistent double-digit polling margins against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa. Virginia has favored Democrats in recent U.S. Senate contests, and race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured the GOP nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in early surveys showing Warner ahead by roughly 18 points. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 election. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen national political changes, major campaign developments, or low-turnout dynamics, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$23,148Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to his established record as a three-term officeholder, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $17 million in cash on hand, and consistent double-digit polling margins against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa. Virginia has favored Democrats in recent U.S. Senate contests, and race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured the GOP nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in early surveys showing Warner ahead by roughly 18 points. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 election. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen national political changes, major campaign developments, or low-turnout dynamics, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$23,148Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to his established record as a three-term officeholder, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $17 million in cash on hand, and consistent double-digit polling margins against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa. Virginia has favored Democrats in recent U.S. Senate contests, and race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solidly Democratic. Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured the GOP nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in early surveys showing Warner ahead by roughly 18 points. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 election. Potential shifts could stem from unforeseen national political changes, major campaign developments, or low-turnout dynamics, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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