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Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$36,669 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$36,669 Объем

Polymarket

South Sudan

$3,363 Объем

69%

Rwanda

$2,128 Объем

23%

Burundi

$202 Объем

25%

United States

$10,507 Объем

21%

Canada

$1,534 Объем

25%

Kenya

$235 Объем

33%

India

$732 Объем

14%

Republic of the Congo

$12,281 Объем

23%

Nigeria

$25 Объем

44%

Ethiopia

$107 Объем

49%

Somalia

$71 Объем

36%

China

$3,529 Объем

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing transmission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo drives trader focus, with the Bundibugyo strain outbreak already exceeding 6,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,000 deaths as of late August 2026, expanding across six provinces amid insecurity and displacement. Neighboring countries face elevated cross-border risk following Uganda’s resolved imported cases and single detections in France and Germany, though sustained local spread remains limited. Vaccination campaigns using Ervebo for frontline workers and enhanced surveillance in at-risk zones represent key near-term catalysts that could contain further international cases through year-end. Traders weigh the outbreak’s rapid growth against response efforts and historical patterns of contained regional transmission.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$36,669
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing transmission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo drives trader focus, with the Bundibugyo strain outbreak already exceeding 6,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,000 deaths as of late August 2026, expanding across six provinces amid insecurity and displacement. Neighboring countries face elevated cross-border risk following Uganda’s resolved imported cases and single detections in France and Germany, though sustained local spread remains limited. Vaccination campaigns using Ervebo for frontline workers and enhanced surveillance in at-risk zones represent key near-term catalysts that could contain further international cases through year-end. Traders weigh the outbreak’s rapid growth against response efforts and historical patterns of contained regional transmission.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$36,669
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Uganda» с 100%, за ним следует «South Sudan» с 69%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $36.7K с момента запуска рынка May 22, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» — «Uganda» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «South Sudan» с 69%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.