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icon for WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket

$10,309 Объем

Polymarket

$10,309 Объем

Брайан Стайл (Р)

$5,519 Объем

65%

Митчелл Бёрман (Д)

$4,791 Объем

34%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by his established record since 2019 and the seat’s historical Republican performance. Recent Democratic momentum includes the DCCC’s September 15 addition of ER nurse Mitchell Berman to its Red to Blue program, which directs extra fundraising and organizational resources toward flipping the R+2 district. Berman’s campaign has highlighted polling showing a near tie and a strong showing by a Democratic state supreme court justice in the district earlier this year. Trader pricing reflects Steil’s incumbency, substantial cash-on-hand advantage, and primary win alongside Berman’s primary victory, while acknowledging the competitive dynamics that could shift with further national trends or turnout patterns.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,309
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, supported by his established record since 2019 and the seat’s historical Republican performance. Recent Democratic momentum includes the DCCC’s September 15 addition of ER nurse Mitchell Berman to its Red to Blue program, which directs extra fundraising and organizational resources toward flipping the R+2 district. Berman’s campaign has highlighted polling showing a near tie and a strong showing by a Democratic state supreme court justice in the district earlier this year. Trader pricing reflects Steil’s incumbency, substantial cash-on-hand advantage, and primary win alongside Berman’s primary victory, while acknowledging the competitive dynamics that could shift with further national trends or turnout patterns.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,309
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу WI-02?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу WI-02?

97%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу WI-06?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу WI-06?

92%
Да
icon for Победит ли Демократическая партия на выборах в Палату представителей по округу WI-03?

Победит ли Демократическая партия на выборах в Палату представителей по округу WI-03?

71%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Брайан Стайл (Р)» с 65%, за ним следует «Митчелл Бёрман (Д)» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 65¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.3K с момента запуска рынка Dec 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Брайан Стайл (Р)» с 65%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Митчелл Бёрман (Д)» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «WI-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.