Recent multiple outages in August, including a three-hour disruption to Claude Code and Cowork from an upstream cloud provider issue on August 28 and several hours of elevated errors across models like Mythos 5, Fable 5, and Opus variants on August 24, have shaped trader views on Claude's reliability. These incidents reflect ongoing infrastructure strain as Anthropic scales agentic features amid surging demand, with 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.8 percent across claude.ai, the API, and related tools. Traders see September downtime likely clustering in the 5–10 day range due to similar scaling pressures and cloud dependencies, though faster mitigations or added capacity could reduce frequency compared with prior months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУйдет ли Клод на __ дней в сентябре?
Уйдет ли Клод на __ дней в сентябре?
8-10 32%
5-7 32%
11-13 28%
14+ 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<5
6%
5-7
32%
8-10
32%
11-13
28%
14+
7%
8-10 32%
5-7 32%
11-13 28%
14+ 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
<5
$233 Объем
6%
5-7
$54 Объем
32%
8-10
$141 Объем
32%
11-13
$226 Объем
28%
14+
$106 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent multiple outages in August, including a three-hour disruption to Claude Code and Cowork from an upstream cloud provider issue on August 28 and several hours of elevated errors across models like Mythos 5, Fable 5, and Opus variants on August 24, have shaped trader views on Claude's reliability. These incidents reflect ongoing infrastructure strain as Anthropic scales agentic features amid surging demand, with 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.8 percent across claude.ai, the API, and related tools. Traders see September downtime likely clustering in the 5–10 day range due to similar scaling pressures and cloud dependencies, though faster mitigations or added capacity could reduce frequency compared with prior months.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$760Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent multiple outages in August, including a three-hour disruption to Claude Code and Cowork from an upstream cloud provider issue on August 28 and several hours of elevated errors across models like Mythos 5, Fable 5, and Opus variants on August 24, have shaped trader views on Claude's reliability. These incidents reflect ongoing infrastructure strain as Anthropic scales agentic features amid surging demand, with 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.8 percent across claude.ai, the API, and related tools. Traders see September downtime likely clustering in the 5–10 day range due to similar scaling pressures and cloud dependencies, though faster mitigations or added capacity could reduce frequency compared with prior months.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Объем
$760Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent multiple outages in August, including a three-hour disruption to Claude Code and Cowork from an upstream cloud provider issue on August 28 and several hours of elevated errors across models like Mythos 5, Fable 5, and Opus variants on August 24, have shaped trader views on Claude's reliability. These incidents reflect ongoing infrastructure strain as Anthropic scales agentic features amid surging demand, with 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.8 percent across claude.ai, the API, and related tools. Traders see September downtime likely clustering in the 5–10 day range due to similar scaling pressures and cloud dependencies, though faster mitigations or added capacity could reduce frequency compared with prior months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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