Iran maintains administrative and military control over Abu Musa Island, which it has held since 1971 alongside Greater and Lesser Tunb, despite UAE sovereignty claims rooted in pre-independence administration by Sharjah. The islands’ position near the Strait of Hormuz has made them focal points in the ongoing US-Iran conflict, with American strikes targeting Iranian missile and coastal defense infrastructure on Abu Musa and related sites in July 2026 and renewed exchanges in late August. The UAE, GCC, and Arab League have reiterated calls for resolution through bilateral talks or the International Court of Justice while condemning Iranian housing projects and military drills; Tehran has rejected these positions as invalid and continued deployments. No verified change in effective control has occurred amid the hostilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$94,058 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
September 30
1%
$94,058 ปริมาณ
August 31
$86,721 ปริมาณ
<1%
September 30
$669 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains administrative and military control over Abu Musa Island, which it has held since 1971 alongside Greater and Lesser Tunb, despite UAE sovereignty claims rooted in pre-independence administration by Sharjah. The islands’ position near the Strait of Hormuz has made them focal points in the ongoing US-Iran conflict, with American strikes targeting Iranian missile and coastal defense infrastructure on Abu Musa and related sites in July 2026 and renewed exchanges in late August. The UAE, GCC, and Arab League have reiterated calls for resolution through bilateral talks or the International Court of Justice while condemning Iranian housing projects and military drills; Tehran has rejected these positions as invalid and continued deployments. No verified change in effective control has occurred amid the hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,058วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains administrative and military control over Abu Musa Island, which it has held since 1971 alongside Greater and Lesser Tunb, despite UAE sovereignty claims rooted in pre-independence administration by Sharjah. The islands’ position near the Strait of Hormuz has made them focal points in the ongoing US-Iran conflict, with American strikes targeting Iranian missile and coastal defense infrastructure on Abu Musa and related sites in July 2026 and renewed exchanges in late August. The UAE, GCC, and Arab League have reiterated calls for resolution through bilateral talks or the International Court of Justice while condemning Iranian housing projects and military drills; Tehran has rejected these positions as invalid and continued deployments. No verified change in effective control has occurred amid the hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,058วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains administrative and military control over Abu Musa Island, which it has held since 1971 alongside Greater and Lesser Tunb, despite UAE sovereignty claims rooted in pre-independence administration by Sharjah. The islands’ position near the Strait of Hormuz has made them focal points in the ongoing US-Iran conflict, with American strikes targeting Iranian missile and coastal defense infrastructure on Abu Musa and related sites in July 2026 and renewed exchanges in late August. The UAE, GCC, and Arab League have reiterated calls for resolution through bilateral talks or the International Court of Justice while condemning Iranian housing projects and military drills; Tehran has rejected these positions as invalid and continued deployments. No verified change in effective control has occurred amid the hostilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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