Amish Shah holds a clear edge in the AZ-01 House race due to the open seat created by Rep. David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid and the district’s status as a top Democratic pickup target after narrow Republican holds in 2024. Shah, a moderate former state legislator and emergency physician, won a contentious July 2026 Democratic primary against the DCCC-backed candidate, demonstrating grassroots strength in a swing district Trump carried by just three points. Recent law enforcement endorsements, including from the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona, have reinforced his cross-aisle record on public safety and fentanyl issues. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former NFL player, benefits from name recognition and higher fundraising but faces headwinds in a contest rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Traders appear to weigh these structural and endorsement dynamics in pricing the general election outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Amish Shah (D)
72%
Jay Feely (R)
28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Amish Shah (D)
$6,835 ปริมาณ
72%
Jay Feely (R)
$1,900 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a clear edge in the AZ-01 House race due to the open seat created by Rep. David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid and the district’s status as a top Democratic pickup target after narrow Republican holds in 2024. Shah, a moderate former state legislator and emergency physician, won a contentious July 2026 Democratic primary against the DCCC-backed candidate, demonstrating grassroots strength in a swing district Trump carried by just three points. Recent law enforcement endorsements, including from the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona, have reinforced his cross-aisle record on public safety and fentanyl issues. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former NFL player, benefits from name recognition and higher fundraising but faces headwinds in a contest rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Traders appear to weigh these structural and endorsement dynamics in pricing the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,734วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amish Shah holds a clear edge in the AZ-01 House race due to the open seat created by Rep. David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid and the district’s status as a top Democratic pickup target after narrow Republican holds in 2024. Shah, a moderate former state legislator and emergency physician, won a contentious July 2026 Democratic primary against the DCCC-backed candidate, demonstrating grassroots strength in a swing district Trump carried by just three points. Recent law enforcement endorsements, including from the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona, have reinforced his cross-aisle record on public safety and fentanyl issues. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former NFL player, benefits from name recognition and higher fundraising but faces headwinds in a contest rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Traders appear to weigh these structural and endorsement dynamics in pricing the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,734วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Amish Shah holds a clear edge in the AZ-01 House race due to the open seat created by Rep. David Schweikert’s gubernatorial bid and the district’s status as a top Democratic pickup target after narrow Republican holds in 2024. Shah, a moderate former state legislator and emergency physician, won a contentious July 2026 Democratic primary against the DCCC-backed candidate, demonstrating grassroots strength in a swing district Trump carried by just three points. Recent law enforcement endorsements, including from the Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona, have reinforced his cross-aisle record on public safety and fentanyl issues. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former NFL player, benefits from name recognition and higher fundraising but faces headwinds in a contest rated toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. Traders appear to weigh these structural and endorsement dynamics in pricing the general election outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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