Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the AZ-02 rematch against Democrat Jonathan Nez, consistent with trader consensus and multiple August polls showing Crane ahead by 2 to 11 points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries for the northeastern Arizona district that includes rural areas, Flagstaff, Prescott, and parts of the Navajo Nation. Crane benefits from incumbency, stronger fundraising with roughly $9.5 million raised and superior cash reserves, and alignment with voter priorities on border security and immigration in a seat rated Likely Republican by forecasters. Nez emphasizes cost-of-living relief and rural infrastructure, yet trails in recent surveys with limited signs of momentum shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
70%
Jonathan Nez (D)
29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
$2,134 ปริมาณ
70%
Jonathan Nez (D)
$1,474 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the AZ-02 rematch against Democrat Jonathan Nez, consistent with trader consensus and multiple August polls showing Crane ahead by 2 to 11 points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries for the northeastern Arizona district that includes rural areas, Flagstaff, Prescott, and parts of the Navajo Nation. Crane benefits from incumbency, stronger fundraising with roughly $9.5 million raised and superior cash reserves, and alignment with voter priorities on border security and immigration in a seat rated Likely Republican by forecasters. Nez emphasizes cost-of-living relief and rural infrastructure, yet trails in recent surveys with limited signs of momentum shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,608วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the AZ-02 rematch against Democrat Jonathan Nez, consistent with trader consensus and multiple August polls showing Crane ahead by 2 to 11 points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries for the northeastern Arizona district that includes rural areas, Flagstaff, Prescott, and parts of the Navajo Nation. Crane benefits from incumbency, stronger fundraising with roughly $9.5 million raised and superior cash reserves, and alignment with voter priorities on border security and immigration in a seat rated Likely Republican by forecasters. Nez emphasizes cost-of-living relief and rural infrastructure, yet trails in recent surveys with limited signs of momentum shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,608วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the AZ-02 rematch against Democrat Jonathan Nez, consistent with trader consensus and multiple August polls showing Crane ahead by 2 to 11 points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries for the northeastern Arizona district that includes rural areas, Flagstaff, Prescott, and parts of the Navajo Nation. Crane benefits from incumbency, stronger fundraising with roughly $9.5 million raised and superior cash reserves, and alignment with voter priorities on border security and immigration in a seat rated Likely Republican by forecasters. Nez emphasizes cost-of-living relief and rural infrastructure, yet trails in recent surveys with limited signs of momentum shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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