California's 12th congressional district ranks among the most Democratic in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent overwhelming support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against Democratic challenger Jamie Joyce and a negligible Republican write-in effort, setting up a November general election matchup between two Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, and no Republican candidate qualified for the general ballot. Trader consensus on Democratic Party victory at 97.9 percent reflects these structural factors, while a Republican outcome at 0.4 percent would require unprecedented shifts in voter behavior or turnout patterns within the Alameda County-based district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-12 House Election Winner
CA-12 House Election Winner
$44,263 ปริมาณ
$44,263 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$44,263 ปริมาณ
$44,263 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,011 ปริมาณ
98%
Republican Party
$17,251 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district ranks among the most Democratic in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent overwhelming support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against Democratic challenger Jamie Joyce and a negligible Republican write-in effort, setting up a November general election matchup between two Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, and no Republican candidate qualified for the general ballot. Trader consensus on Democratic Party victory at 97.9 percent reflects these structural factors, while a Republican outcome at 0.4 percent would require unprecedented shifts in voter behavior or turnout patterns within the Alameda County-based district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,263วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district ranks among the most Democratic in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent overwhelming support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against Democratic challenger Jamie Joyce and a negligible Republican write-in effort, setting up a November general election matchup between two Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, and no Republican candidate qualified for the general ballot. Trader consensus on Democratic Party victory at 97.9 percent reflects these structural factors, while a Republican outcome at 0.4 percent would require unprecedented shifts in voter behavior or turnout patterns within the Alameda County-based district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,263วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...California's 12th congressional district ranks among the most Democratic in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent overwhelming support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Lateefah Simon advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against Democratic challenger Jamie Joyce and a negligible Republican write-in effort, setting up a November general election matchup between two Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, and no Republican candidate qualified for the general ballot. Trader consensus on Democratic Party victory at 97.9 percent reflects these structural factors, while a Republican outcome at 0.4 percent would require unprecedented shifts in voter behavior or turnout patterns within the Alameda County-based district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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