Xi Jinping’s ongoing purges of senior People’s Liberation Army and Communist Party officials, including recent removals of Central Military Commission figures and his own longtime aide, have dismantled potential centers of coordinated resistance. These actions, framed as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement, reflect sustained top-down control over the military command structure and elite appointments ahead of the 2027 party congress. With roughly three months remaining before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution, traders see no credible path for a qualifying coup attempt. Realistic shifts remain limited to abrupt health crises, major external shocks, or undetected factional realignments that surface in verifiable public reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4% โอกาส
$155,524 ปริมาณ
$155,524 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$155,524 ปริมาณ
$155,524 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing purges of senior People’s Liberation Army and Communist Party officials, including recent removals of Central Military Commission figures and his own longtime aide, have dismantled potential centers of coordinated resistance. These actions, framed as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement, reflect sustained top-down control over the military command structure and elite appointments ahead of the 2027 party congress. With roughly three months remaining before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution, traders see no credible path for a qualifying coup attempt. Realistic shifts remain limited to abrupt health crises, major external shocks, or undetected factional realignments that surface in verifiable public reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,524วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing purges of senior People’s Liberation Army and Communist Party officials, including recent removals of Central Military Commission figures and his own longtime aide, have dismantled potential centers of coordinated resistance. These actions, framed as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement, reflect sustained top-down control over the military command structure and elite appointments ahead of the 2027 party congress. With roughly three months remaining before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution, traders see no credible path for a qualifying coup attempt. Realistic shifts remain limited to abrupt health crises, major external shocks, or undetected factional realignments that surface in verifiable public reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,524วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing purges of senior People’s Liberation Army and Communist Party officials, including recent removals of Central Military Commission figures and his own longtime aide, have dismantled potential centers of coordinated resistance. These actions, framed as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement, reflect sustained top-down control over the military command structure and elite appointments ahead of the 2027 party congress. With roughly three months remaining before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution, traders see no credible path for a qualifying coup attempt. Realistic shifts remain limited to abrupt health crises, major external shocks, or undetected factional realignments that surface in verifiable public reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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