Iran’s post-conflict leadership faces internal divisions that shape trader focus on coup-related outcomes. Hardline factions have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a soft coup, alleging they sidelined Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—largely absent from public view since February 2026—and elevated the Supreme National Security Council during truce talks with the United States. These claims surfaced prominently in July amid funeral tensions and persisted into August alongside broader warnings from judiciary officials about sedition and infiltration risks. Recent IAEA referral of Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council in early September adds external pressure that could intensify factional maneuvering or prompt IRGC assertions of authority. Traders monitor leadership visibility, negotiation progress, and any military statements for signs of shifting power balances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIran coup attempt by...?
Iran coup attempt by...?
$2,132,510 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$2,132,510 ปริมาณ
December 31
$91,285 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s post-conflict leadership faces internal divisions that shape trader focus on coup-related outcomes. Hardline factions have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a soft coup, alleging they sidelined Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—largely absent from public view since February 2026—and elevated the Supreme National Security Council during truce talks with the United States. These claims surfaced prominently in July amid funeral tensions and persisted into August alongside broader warnings from judiciary officials about sedition and infiltration risks. Recent IAEA referral of Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council in early September adds external pressure that could intensify factional maneuvering or prompt IRGC assertions of authority. Traders monitor leadership visibility, negotiation progress, and any military statements for signs of shifting power balances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,132,510วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s post-conflict leadership faces internal divisions that shape trader focus on coup-related outcomes. Hardline factions have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a soft coup, alleging they sidelined Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—largely absent from public view since February 2026—and elevated the Supreme National Security Council during truce talks with the United States. These claims surfaced prominently in July amid funeral tensions and persisted into August alongside broader warnings from judiciary officials about sedition and infiltration risks. Recent IAEA referral of Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council in early September adds external pressure that could intensify factional maneuvering or prompt IRGC assertions of authority. Traders monitor leadership visibility, negotiation progress, and any military statements for signs of shifting power balances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,132,510วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Iran’s post-conflict leadership faces internal divisions that shape trader focus on coup-related outcomes. Hardline factions have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a soft coup, alleging they sidelined Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—largely absent from public view since February 2026—and elevated the Supreme National Security Council during truce talks with the United States. These claims surfaced prominently in July amid funeral tensions and persisted into August alongside broader warnings from judiciary officials about sedition and infiltration risks. Recent IAEA referral of Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council in early September adds external pressure that could intensify factional maneuvering or prompt IRGC assertions of authority. Traders monitor leadership visibility, negotiation progress, and any military statements for signs of shifting power balances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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