Grok models currently trail on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark testing graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities, with Grok 4.6 at 42.9% and Grok 4.5 at 42.7% as of late August 2026. Trader sentiment reflects xAI’s steady releases lifting scores since 2025, yet Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 lead at 55–65% on verified no-tools or tool-augmented leaderboards, followed by Meta’s Muse Spark and OpenAI GPT variants. Competitive dynamics favor labs prioritizing reasoning-focused training, larger scale, and agentic scaffolds. Key catalysts through December include potential Grok 4.x updates or architectural advances that could close the gap before the year-end resolution window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$63,425 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
45%+
72%
50%+
48%
55%+
34%
60%+
24%
65%+
9%
$63,425 ปริมาณ
45%+
$27,818 ปริมาณ
72%
50%+
$7,075 ปริมาณ
48%
55%+
$14,044 ปริมาณ
34%
60%+
$12,455 ปริมาณ
24%
65%+
$2,034 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Grok models currently trail on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark testing graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities, with Grok 4.6 at 42.9% and Grok 4.5 at 42.7% as of late August 2026. Trader sentiment reflects xAI’s steady releases lifting scores since 2025, yet Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 lead at 55–65% on verified no-tools or tool-augmented leaderboards, followed by Meta’s Muse Spark and OpenAI GPT variants. Competitive dynamics favor labs prioritizing reasoning-focused training, larger scale, and agentic scaffolds. Key catalysts through December include potential Grok 4.x updates or architectural advances that could close the gap before the year-end resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,425วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://agi.safe.ai/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Grok models currently trail on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark testing graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities, with Grok 4.6 at 42.9% and Grok 4.5 at 42.7% as of late August 2026. Trader sentiment reflects xAI’s steady releases lifting scores since 2025, yet Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 lead at 55–65% on verified no-tools or tool-augmented leaderboards, followed by Meta’s Muse Spark and OpenAI GPT variants. Competitive dynamics favor labs prioritizing reasoning-focused training, larger scale, and agentic scaffolds. Key catalysts through December include potential Grok 4.x updates or architectural advances that could close the gap before the year-end resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,425วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://agi.safe.ai/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Grok models currently trail on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark testing graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities, with Grok 4.6 at 42.9% and Grok 4.5 at 42.7% as of late August 2026. Trader sentiment reflects xAI’s steady releases lifting scores since 2025, yet Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 lead at 55–65% on verified no-tools or tool-augmented leaderboards, followed by Meta’s Muse Spark and OpenAI GPT variants. Competitive dynamics favor labs prioritizing reasoning-focused training, larger scale, and agentic scaffolds. Key catalysts through December include potential Grok 4.x updates or architectural advances that could close the gap before the year-end resolution window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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