Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max has held a clear second-place ranking on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard for labs throughout late August 2026, trailing only Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5-max by roughly 15 Elo points while outperforming every other entrant. The July 2026 release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight model, featuring a 1M-token context window and strong agentic coding results, drove rapid gains on frontend and full-stack web development tasks evaluated through blind pairwise votes. Traders see little realistic upside for challengers to close the gap before the August 31 resolution cutoff, though a surprise model update from Tencent, Alibaba, or another Chinese lab that shifts the leaderboard ordering could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMoonshot 99.8%
Anthropic 3.0%
Tencent <1%
Poolside <1%
$118,307 ปริมาณ
$118,307 ปริมาณ

Moonshot
100%

Anthropic
3%

Tencent
<1%

Poolside
<1%

Mistral
<1%

OpenAI
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Meta
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Thinky
<1%
Moonshot 99.8%
Anthropic 3.0%
Tencent <1%
Poolside <1%
$118,307 ปริมาณ
$118,307 ปริมาณ

Moonshot
100%

Anthropic
3%

Tencent
<1%

Poolside
<1%

Mistral
<1%

OpenAI
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Meta
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Thinky
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max has held a clear second-place ranking on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard for labs throughout late August 2026, trailing only Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5-max by roughly 15 Elo points while outperforming every other entrant. The July 2026 release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight model, featuring a 1M-token context window and strong agentic coding results, drove rapid gains on frontend and full-stack web development tasks evaluated through blind pairwise votes. Traders see little realistic upside for challengers to close the gap before the August 31 resolution cutoff, though a surprise model update from Tencent, Alibaba, or another Chinese lab that shifts the leaderboard ordering could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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