**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and consistent local reporting have driven near-certainty around a 19°C high for Buenos Aires on August 31, 2026.** After recent instability, stable conditions with easterly winds of 10–25 km/h and no precipitation have allowed a gradual temperature rise, with afternoon readings projected to peak at 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Current observations show values climbing through the mid-teens, aligning closely with model consensus and historical late-August norms for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in these authoritative projections resolving the market. Only an unexpected late surge above 20°C or a downward revision in final station data could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$25,140 ปริมาณ
$25,140 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$25,140 ปริมาณ
$25,140 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
$238 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$238 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$433 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$1,585 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,479 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$4,785 ปริมาณ
100%
20°C
$3,901 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$5,298 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,600 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$2,068 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,514 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and consistent local reporting have driven near-certainty around a 19°C high for Buenos Aires on August 31, 2026.** After recent instability, stable conditions with easterly winds of 10–25 km/h and no precipitation have allowed a gradual temperature rise, with afternoon readings projected to peak at 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Current observations show values climbing through the mid-teens, aligning closely with model consensus and historical late-August norms for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in these authoritative projections resolving the market. Only an unexpected late surge above 20°C or a downward revision in final station data could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,140วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and consistent local reporting have driven near-certainty around a 19°C high for Buenos Aires on August 31, 2026.** After recent instability, stable conditions with easterly winds of 10–25 km/h and no precipitation have allowed a gradual temperature rise, with afternoon readings projected to peak at 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Current observations show values climbing through the mid-teens, aligning closely with model consensus and historical late-August norms for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in these authoritative projections resolving the market. Only an unexpected late surge above 20°C or a downward revision in final station data could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,140วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and consistent local reporting have driven near-certainty around a 19°C high for Buenos Aires on August 31, 2026.** After recent instability, stable conditions with easterly winds of 10–25 km/h and no precipitation have allowed a gradual temperature rise, with afternoon readings projected to peak at 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Current observations show values climbing through the mid-teens, aligning closely with model consensus and historical late-August norms for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in these authoritative projections resolving the market. Only an unexpected late surge above 20°C or a downward revision in final station data could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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