Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa's 3rd congressional district, reflecting her edge in a historically competitive seat decided by narrow margins in 2022 and 2024. As the Democratic nominee and sitting state senator, she has raised slightly more than incumbent Republican Zach Nunn through June 2026 and maintains a record of winning Republican-leaning districts. Both candidates ran unopposed in June primaries for the November 3 general election. Recent campaign activity includes Democratic attacks on Nunn's China-related ties, met with Republican pushback on Garriott's donors. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, though the wisdom of crowds in this prediction market points to Garriott capitalizing on midterm dynamics and her proven appeal in swing terrain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$11,012 ปริมาณ
$11,012 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
77%
Zach Nunn (R)
24%
$11,012 ปริมาณ
$11,012 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
$4,655 ปริมาณ
77%
Zach Nunn (R)
$6,357 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa's 3rd congressional district, reflecting her edge in a historically competitive seat decided by narrow margins in 2022 and 2024. As the Democratic nominee and sitting state senator, she has raised slightly more than incumbent Republican Zach Nunn through June 2026 and maintains a record of winning Republican-leaning districts. Both candidates ran unopposed in June primaries for the November 3 general election. Recent campaign activity includes Democratic attacks on Nunn's China-related ties, met with Republican pushback on Garriott's donors. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, though the wisdom of crowds in this prediction market points to Garriott capitalizing on midterm dynamics and her proven appeal in swing terrain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,012วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa's 3rd congressional district, reflecting her edge in a historically competitive seat decided by narrow margins in 2022 and 2024. As the Democratic nominee and sitting state senator, she has raised slightly more than incumbent Republican Zach Nunn through June 2026 and maintains a record of winning Republican-leaning districts. Both candidates ran unopposed in June primaries for the November 3 general election. Recent campaign activity includes Democratic attacks on Nunn's China-related ties, met with Republican pushback on Garriott's donors. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, though the wisdom of crowds in this prediction market points to Garriott capitalizing on midterm dynamics and her proven appeal in swing terrain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,012วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa's 3rd congressional district, reflecting her edge in a historically competitive seat decided by narrow margins in 2022 and 2024. As the Democratic nominee and sitting state senator, she has raised slightly more than incumbent Republican Zach Nunn through June 2026 and maintains a record of winning Republican-leaning districts. Both candidates ran unopposed in June primaries for the November 3 general election. Recent campaign activity includes Democratic attacks on Nunn's China-related ties, met with Republican pushback on Garriott's donors. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, though the wisdom of crowds in this prediction market points to Garriott capitalizing on midterm dynamics and her proven appeal in swing terrain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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