Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election as the Republican incumbent appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term, benefiting from the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles and her strong primary performance. Polling averages show her ahead by roughly 9–10 points against Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, whose progressive platform and Democratic primary upset over a better-funded opponent have drawn attacks highlighting socialist associations that resonate poorly with key Florida voter blocs, particularly in South Florida. Traders price Moody above 90 percent based on these structural advantages and limited remaining campaign time before the November 3 contest. Shifts remain possible if national conditions change sharply, turnout surges unexpectedly among Democratic-leaning groups, or late developments alter voter priorities on issues such as the economy or immigration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$110,542 ปริมาณ
$110,542 ปริมาณ
Ashley Moody (R)
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$110,542 ปริมาณ
$110,542 ปริมาณ
Ashley Moody (R)
$55,096 ปริมาณ
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,446 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election as the Republican incumbent appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term, benefiting from the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles and her strong primary performance. Polling averages show her ahead by roughly 9–10 points against Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, whose progressive platform and Democratic primary upset over a better-funded opponent have drawn attacks highlighting socialist associations that resonate poorly with key Florida voter blocs, particularly in South Florida. Traders price Moody above 90 percent based on these structural advantages and limited remaining campaign time before the November 3 contest. Shifts remain possible if national conditions change sharply, turnout surges unexpectedly among Democratic-leaning groups, or late developments alter voter priorities on issues such as the economy or immigration.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,542ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election as the Republican incumbent appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term, benefiting from the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles and her strong primary performance. Polling averages show her ahead by roughly 9–10 points against Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, whose progressive platform and Democratic primary upset over a better-funded opponent have drawn attacks highlighting socialist associations that resonate poorly with key Florida voter blocs, particularly in South Florida. Traders price Moody above 90 percent based on these structural advantages and limited remaining campaign time before the November 3 contest. Shifts remain possible if national conditions change sharply, turnout surges unexpectedly among Democratic-leaning groups, or late developments alter voter priorities on issues such as the economy or immigration.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,542ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election as the Republican incumbent appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term, benefiting from the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles and her strong primary performance. Polling averages show her ahead by roughly 9–10 points against Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, whose progressive platform and Democratic primary upset over a better-funded opponent have drawn attacks highlighting socialist associations that resonate poorly with key Florida voter blocs, particularly in South Florida. Traders price Moody above 90 percent based on these structural advantages and limited remaining campaign time before the November 3 contest. Shifts remain possible if national conditions change sharply, turnout surges unexpectedly among Democratic-leaning groups, or late developments alter voter priorities on issues such as the economy or immigration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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