Oklahoma's consistent Republican dominance in statewide elections, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024, underpins the market's strong consensus for a GOP victory in the open Senate seat. The primary process produced Republican nominee Kevin Hern, a sitting U.S. representative backed by President Trump, who secured nearly 70% of the primary vote. Democrat N'Kiayla Jasmine Thomas emerged from a low-turnout runoff but faces structural barriers in a state where no Democratic Senate candidate has won since 1990. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, and limited polling plus forecasting models project double-digit margins favoring Hern. Trader pricing at 95% Republican reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$20,643 ปริมาณ
$20,643 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
4%
$20,643 ปริมาณ
$20,643 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$14,061 ปริมาณ
95%
Democrat
$6,582 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's consistent Republican dominance in statewide elections, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024, underpins the market's strong consensus for a GOP victory in the open Senate seat. The primary process produced Republican nominee Kevin Hern, a sitting U.S. representative backed by President Trump, who secured nearly 70% of the primary vote. Democrat N'Kiayla Jasmine Thomas emerged from a low-turnout runoff but faces structural barriers in a state where no Democratic Senate candidate has won since 1990. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, and limited polling plus forecasting models project double-digit margins favoring Hern. Trader pricing at 95% Republican reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,643วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's consistent Republican dominance in statewide elections, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024, underpins the market's strong consensus for a GOP victory in the open Senate seat. The primary process produced Republican nominee Kevin Hern, a sitting U.S. representative backed by President Trump, who secured nearly 70% of the primary vote. Democrat N'Kiayla Jasmine Thomas emerged from a low-turnout runoff but faces structural barriers in a state where no Democratic Senate candidate has won since 1990. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, and limited polling plus forecasting models project double-digit margins favoring Hern. Trader pricing at 95% Republican reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,643วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's consistent Republican dominance in statewide elections, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024, underpins the market's strong consensus for a GOP victory in the open Senate seat. The primary process produced Republican nominee Kevin Hern, a sitting U.S. representative backed by President Trump, who secured nearly 70% of the primary vote. Democrat N'Kiayla Jasmine Thomas emerged from a low-turnout runoff but faces structural barriers in a state where no Democratic Senate candidate has won since 1990. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, and limited polling plus forecasting models project double-digit margins favoring Hern. Trader pricing at 95% Republican reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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