Wyoming's solidly Republican electorate and Harriet Hageman's commanding position as the party's nominee after her August primary victory explain the market's strong consensus behind her. With retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis leaving an open seat, Hageman defeated several Republican challengers to secure the nomination, bolstered by Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising. Democrat James W. Byrd, a former state representative, won his party's primary but faces structural disadvantages in a state that has delivered large Republican margins in recent federal contests. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability factors at present.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$16,782 ปริมาณ
$16,782 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,782 ปริมาณ
$16,782 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,127 ปริมาณ
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's solidly Republican electorate and Harriet Hageman's commanding position as the party's nominee after her August primary victory explain the market's strong consensus behind her. With retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis leaving an open seat, Hageman defeated several Republican challengers to secure the nomination, bolstered by Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising. Democrat James W. Byrd, a former state representative, won his party's primary but faces structural disadvantages in a state that has delivered large Republican margins in recent federal contests. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability factors at present.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,782วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's solidly Republican electorate and Harriet Hageman's commanding position as the party's nominee after her August primary victory explain the market's strong consensus behind her. With retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis leaving an open seat, Hageman defeated several Republican challengers to secure the nomination, bolstered by Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising. Democrat James W. Byrd, a former state representative, won his party's primary but faces structural disadvantages in a state that has delivered large Republican margins in recent federal contests. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability factors at present.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,782วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's solidly Republican electorate and Harriet Hageman's commanding position as the party's nominee after her August primary victory explain the market's strong consensus behind her. With retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis leaving an open seat, Hageman defeated several Republican challengers to secure the nomination, bolstered by Trump endorsement and substantial fundraising. Democrat James W. Byrd, a former state representative, won his party's primary but faces structural disadvantages in a state that has delivered large Republican margins in recent federal contests. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability factors at present.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย