The limited competitiveness of Wyoming’s open Senate seat, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a race rated solidly Republican, anchors trader expectations for moderate turnout clustered near 200,000 ballots. Historical midterm participation in the low-population rural state has shown consistent drop-off from presidential-year levels, while the lopsided primary results and low Democratic mobilization provide little incentive for unusually high engagement. Variables such as Election Day weather, rural voter patterns, and any late national developments that could affect overall participation remain the main factors that might shift probabilities between the closely matched 190K-210K and 210K-230K ranges ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWyoming Senate Election: Turnout
Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
190K-210K 43%
210K-230K 34%
250K+ 10%
170K-190K 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
3%
150K-170K
4%
170K-190K
9%
190K-210K
43%
210K-230K
37%
230K-250K
2%
250K+
10%
190K-210K 43%
210K-230K 34%
250K+ 10%
170K-190K 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
$246 ปริมาณ
3%
150K-170K
$87 ปริมาณ
4%
170K-190K
$196 ปริมาณ
9%
190K-210K
$2,463 ปริมาณ
43%
210K-230K
$403 ปริมาณ
37%
230K-250K
$109 ปริมาณ
2%
250K+
$783 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The limited competitiveness of Wyoming’s open Senate seat, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a race rated solidly Republican, anchors trader expectations for moderate turnout clustered near 200,000 ballots. Historical midterm participation in the low-population rural state has shown consistent drop-off from presidential-year levels, while the lopsided primary results and low Democratic mobilization provide little incentive for unusually high engagement. Variables such as Election Day weather, rural voter patterns, and any late national developments that could affect overall participation remain the main factors that might shift probabilities between the closely matched 190K-210K and 210K-230K ranges ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,286วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The limited competitiveness of Wyoming’s open Senate seat, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a race rated solidly Republican, anchors trader expectations for moderate turnout clustered near 200,000 ballots. Historical midterm participation in the low-population rural state has shown consistent drop-off from presidential-year levels, while the lopsided primary results and low Democratic mobilization provide little incentive for unusually high engagement. Variables such as Election Day weather, rural voter patterns, and any late national developments that could affect overall participation remain the main factors that might shift probabilities between the closely matched 190K-210K and 210K-230K ranges ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,286วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The limited competitiveness of Wyoming’s open Senate seat, with Republican Harriet Hageman facing Democrat James Byrd in a race rated solidly Republican, anchors trader expectations for moderate turnout clustered near 200,000 ballots. Historical midterm participation in the low-population rural state has shown consistent drop-off from presidential-year levels, while the lopsided primary results and low Democratic mobilization provide little incentive for unusually high engagement. Variables such as Election Day weather, rural voter patterns, and any late national developments that could affect overall participation remain the main factors that might shift probabilities between the closely matched 190K-210K and 210K-230K ranges ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
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