In Rhode Island’s November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest, trader consensus centers on 350,000–400,000 total ballots cast, reflecting the state’s typical midterm participation patterns. With roughly 758,000 registered voters and historical general-election turnout of 44 percent in 2022 versus 63 percent in the 2024 presidential year, the leading bin aligns with expectations for a low-salience race featuring long-serving Democratic incumbent Jack Reed against Republican challenger Raymond McKay. The September 9 primaries produced modestly elevated participation compared with 2022, yet the general-election contest remains rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, limiting voter mobilization. A large independent bloc, available early and mail voting, and limited national attention further anchor probabilities around recent midterm benchmarks rather than higher presidential-year levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
350K-400K 51.4%
300K-350K 21%
400K-450K 15%
450K+ 3.9%
<250K
1%
250K-300K
1%
300K-350K
21%
350K-400K
51%
400K-450K
15%
450K+
4%
350K-400K 51.4%
300K-350K 21%
400K-450K 15%
450K+ 3.9%
<250K
1%
250K-300K
1%
300K-350K
21%
350K-400K
51%
400K-450K
15%
450K+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...In Rhode Island’s November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest, trader consensus centers on 350,000–400,000 total ballots cast, reflecting the state’s typical midterm participation patterns. With roughly 758,000 registered voters and historical general-election turnout of 44 percent in 2022 versus 63 percent in the 2024 presidential year, the leading bin aligns with expectations for a low-salience race featuring long-serving Democratic incumbent Jack Reed against Republican challenger Raymond McKay. The September 9 primaries produced modestly elevated participation compared with 2022, yet the general-election contest remains rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, limiting voter mobilization. A large independent bloc, available early and mail voting, and limited national attention further anchor probabilities around recent midterm benchmarks rather than higher presidential-year levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000?
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