The closely matched leading bins in this Massachusetts Senate turnout market reflect trader expectations of subdued participation in a low-competition midterm general election. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey defeated primary challenger Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points on September 1, while Republican John Deaton ran unopposed, leaving the November contest with limited statewide excitement. Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin has stated that the primary will not produce unusually high turnout, consistent with typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state where recent presidential margins exceeded 24 points. Early voting volumes, mail ballot returns, and historical patterns in non-presidential years continue to anchor assessments around the 2.65M–2.95M ranges, with few catalysts yet to separate the probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMassachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
2.8M-2.95M 38%
2.65M-2.8M 32%
2.5M-2.65M 21%
2.35M-2.5M 17.3%
<2.2M
3%
2.2M-2.35M
4%
2.35M-2.5M
17%
2.5M-2.65M
21%
2.65M-2.8M
32%
2.8M-2.95M
38%
2.95M-3.1M
10%
3.1M+
15%
2.8M-2.95M 38%
2.65M-2.8M 32%
2.5M-2.65M 21%
2.35M-2.5M 17.3%
<2.2M
3%
2.2M-2.35M
4%
2.35M-2.5M
17%
2.5M-2.65M
21%
2.65M-2.8M
32%
2.8M-2.95M
38%
2.95M-3.1M
10%
3.1M+
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched leading bins in this Massachusetts Senate turnout market reflect trader expectations of subdued participation in a low-competition midterm general election. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey defeated primary challenger Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points on September 1, while Republican John Deaton ran unopposed, leaving the November contest with limited statewide excitement. Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin has stated that the primary will not produce unusually high turnout, consistent with typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state where recent presidential margins exceeded 24 points. Early voting volumes, mail ballot returns, and historical patterns in non-presidential years continue to anchor assessments around the 2.65M–2.95M ranges, with few catalysts yet to separate the probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 600,000 and 650,000?
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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
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