The closely contested Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek, rated a tossup or lean Republican by most forecasters, keeps trader expectations centered on mid-range turnout levels around 1.4 million to 1.5 million votes. Recent polling averages show the candidates within a few points, with high voter motivation reported in surveys and active campaigning including endorsements and events boosting engagement. Key factors such as economic concerns, candidate name recognition in an open seat, and the state's Republican lean influence participation rates without clear signals of unusually high or low enthusiasm. Late developments in voter outreach or national political dynamics could shift totals within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIowa Senate Election: Turnout
Iowa Senate Election: Turnout
1.4M-1.45M 31%
1.45M-1.5M 29.9%
1.35M-1.4M 16%
1.3M-1.35M 8%
$11,087 ปริมาณ
$11,087 ปริมาณ
<1.2M
5%
1.2M-1.25M
5%
1.25M-1.3M
5%
1.3M-1.35M
8%
1.35M-1.4M
16%
1.4M-1.45M
31%
1.45M-1.5M
30%
1.5M-1.55M
12%
1.55M-1.6M
<1%
1.6M+
4%
1.4M-1.45M 31%
1.45M-1.5M 29.9%
1.35M-1.4M 16%
1.3M-1.35M 8%
$11,087 ปริมาณ
$11,087 ปริมาณ
<1.2M
5%
1.2M-1.25M
5%
1.25M-1.3M
5%
1.3M-1.35M
8%
1.35M-1.4M
16%
1.4M-1.45M
31%
1.45M-1.5M
30%
1.5M-1.55M
12%
1.55M-1.6M
<1%
1.6M+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek, rated a tossup or lean Republican by most forecasters, keeps trader expectations centered on mid-range turnout levels around 1.4 million to 1.5 million votes. Recent polling averages show the candidates within a few points, with high voter motivation reported in surveys and active campaigning including endorsements and events boosting engagement. Key factors such as economic concerns, candidate name recognition in an open seat, and the state's Republican lean influence participation rates without clear signals of unusually high or low enthusiasm. Late developments in voter outreach or national political dynamics could shift totals within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
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