In the low-intensity 2026 New Jersey Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Justin Murphy, trader consensus clusters tightly around 3M–3.4M total votes cast because the race’s safe Democratic lean has produced limited campaign spending and mobilization since the June primaries. Light Republican primary participation and typical midterm turnout patterns—well below 2024 presidential levels—anchor expectations in the moderate range, while New Jersey’s Democratic registration edge and expanded early and mail voting options could modestly increase participation in urban and suburban areas. With no competitive pressure or major recent events to shift dynamics, the market reflects uncertainty over how much these access factors will offset baseline midterm decline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Jersey Senate Election: Turnout
New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout
3.2M-3.4M 47%
3M-3.2M 40%
3.4M-3.6M 9.1%
2.6M-2.8M 5.9%
<2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M-2.8M
6%
2.8M-3M
6%
3M-3.2M
40%
3.2M-3.4M
47%
3.4M-3.6M
9%
3.6M-3.8M
5%
3.8M+
4%
3.2M-3.4M 47%
3M-3.2M 40%
3.4M-3.6M 9.1%
2.6M-2.8M 5.9%
<2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M-2.8M
6%
2.8M-3M
6%
3M-3.2M
40%
3.2M-3.4M
47%
3.4M-3.6M
9%
3.6M-3.8M
5%
3.8M+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...In the low-intensity 2026 New Jersey Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Justin Murphy, trader consensus clusters tightly around 3M–3.4M total votes cast because the race’s safe Democratic lean has produced limited campaign spending and mobilization since the June primaries. Light Republican primary participation and typical midterm turnout patterns—well below 2024 presidential levels—anchor expectations in the moderate range, while New Jersey’s Democratic registration edge and expanded early and mail voting options could modestly increase participation in urban and suburban areas. With no competitive pressure or major recent events to shift dynamics, the market reflects uncertainty over how much these access factors will offset baseline midterm decline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
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