Recent polling shows incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo holding a narrow edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in Nevada’s November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest, with the race rated Lean Republican or Tossup by most forecasters. This competitiveness, alongside steady population-driven growth in registered voters now exceeding 2 million active, supports trader consensus around 1.125–1.2 million total ballots. Historical benchmarks reinforce the positioning: the 2022 midterm produced 1.02 million votes while the 2024 presidential election reached 1.49 million. Nevada’s heavy use of mail and early voting, combined with a large independent bloc, typically moderates swings in participation. No major late developments have shifted these dynamics in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNevada Governor Election: Turnout
Nevada Governor Election: Turnout
1.125M-1.2M 45%
1.05M-1.125M 32%
<900K 13.8%
1.2M-1.275M 10.8%
$12,199 ปริมาณ
$12,199 ปริมาณ
<900K
14%
900K-975K
6%
975K-1.05M
5%
1.05M-1.125M
32%
1.125M-1.2M
45%
1.2M-1.275M
11%
1.275M-1.35M
<1%
1.35M+
<1%
1.125M-1.2M 45%
1.05M-1.125M 32%
<900K 13.8%
1.2M-1.275M 10.8%
$12,199 ปริมาณ
$12,199 ปริมาณ
<900K
14%
900K-975K
6%
975K-1.05M
5%
1.05M-1.125M
32%
1.125M-1.2M
45%
1.2M-1.275M
11%
1.275M-1.35M
<1%
1.35M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo holding a narrow edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in Nevada’s November 3, 2026, gubernatorial contest, with the race rated Lean Republican or Tossup by most forecasters. This competitiveness, alongside steady population-driven growth in registered voters now exceeding 2 million active, supports trader consensus around 1.125–1.2 million total ballots. Historical benchmarks reinforce the positioning: the 2022 midterm produced 1.02 million votes while the 2024 presidential election reached 1.49 million. Nevada’s heavy use of mail and early voting, combined with a large independent bloc, typically moderates swings in participation. No major late developments have shifted these dynamics in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?
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