Missouri’s 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver facing Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome following the Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling that the old district boundaries will apply, preserving the seat’s Democratic lean after prior mid-decade redistricting efforts had aimed to add Republican-leaning rural counties. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin secured the GOP nomination in August. The reversion to prior lines, which include a larger share of Kansas City voters, underpins the current implied probabilities, though ongoing litigation or turnout shifts in suburban and urban areas could still influence the final result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$19,289 ปริมาณ
$19,289 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
20%
$19,289 ปริมาณ
$19,289 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,436 ปริมาณ
78%
Republican Party
$12,853 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver facing Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome following the Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling that the old district boundaries will apply, preserving the seat’s Democratic lean after prior mid-decade redistricting efforts had aimed to add Republican-leaning rural counties. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin secured the GOP nomination in August. The reversion to prior lines, which include a larger share of Kansas City voters, underpins the current implied probabilities, though ongoing litigation or turnout shifts in suburban and urban areas could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,289วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver facing Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome following the Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling that the old district boundaries will apply, preserving the seat’s Democratic lean after prior mid-decade redistricting efforts had aimed to add Republican-leaning rural counties. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin secured the GOP nomination in August. The reversion to prior lines, which include a larger share of Kansas City voters, underpins the current implied probabilities, though ongoing litigation or turnout shifts in suburban and urban areas could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,289วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver facing Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome following the Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling that the old district boundaries will apply, preserving the seat’s Democratic lean after prior mid-decade redistricting efforts had aimed to add Republican-leaning rural counties. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin secured the GOP nomination in August. The reversion to prior lines, which include a larger share of Kansas City voters, underpins the current implied probabilities, though ongoing litigation or turnout shifts in suburban and urban areas could still influence the final result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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