Missouri's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from multiple forecasters. The open seat, vacated by long-serving Rep. Sam Graves, saw Chris Stigall secure the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary over several challengers, while Democrat Josh Smead advanced on his side. Historical results show the district delivering large Republican margins in presidential and congressional contests, even after recent redistricting incorporated additional suburban and Northland territory around Kansas City. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this baseline, though factors such as national midterm dynamics, candidate visibility in newly added areas, or shifts in suburban turnout could narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$43,095 ปริมาณ
$43,095 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$43,095 ปริมาณ
$43,095 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$27,455 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$15,640 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from multiple forecasters. The open seat, vacated by long-serving Rep. Sam Graves, saw Chris Stigall secure the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary over several challengers, while Democrat Josh Smead advanced on his side. Historical results show the district delivering large Republican margins in presidential and congressional contests, even after recent redistricting incorporated additional suburban and Northland territory around Kansas City. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this baseline, though factors such as national midterm dynamics, candidate visibility in newly added areas, or shifts in suburban turnout could narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,095วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from multiple forecasters. The open seat, vacated by long-serving Rep. Sam Graves, saw Chris Stigall secure the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary over several challengers, while Democrat Josh Smead advanced on his side. Historical results show the district delivering large Republican margins in presidential and congressional contests, even after recent redistricting incorporated additional suburban and Northland territory around Kansas City. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this baseline, though factors such as national midterm dynamics, candidate visibility in newly added areas, or shifts in suburban turnout could narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,095วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from multiple forecasters. The open seat, vacated by long-serving Rep. Sam Graves, saw Chris Stigall secure the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary over several challengers, while Democrat Josh Smead advanced on his side. Historical results show the district delivering large Republican margins in presidential and congressional contests, even after recent redistricting incorporated additional suburban and Northland territory around Kansas City. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this baseline, though factors such as national midterm dynamics, candidate visibility in newly added areas, or shifts in suburban turnout could narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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